南極濤動與西沙夏季氣候的關聯性
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海南省氣象局科研項目(HNQXJS201617)、國家重點研發計劃課題(2016YFA0602003)資助


Correlation of Antarctic Oscillation and Summer Climate in Xisha
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    摘要:

    利用近53 a(1960—2012年)南海西沙群島永興島氣象站的觀測資料以及同期的NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析資料,分析了近53 a西沙夏季氣候變化特征及其與春、夏季南極海平面氣壓的可能聯系,并初步分析了南極濤動(AAO)對西沙夏季氣候的影響。結果表明:近53 a來西沙夏季平均降水持續減少、氣溫明顯升高、風速顯著減弱;降水、氣溫和風速還表現出準2 a的年際變率及7~11 a的年代際變率。回歸分析和相關分析結果均表明,當春、夏季南極海平面氣壓偏強(弱)時,西沙夏季降水偏多(少)、氣溫偏低(高)、風速偏強(弱)、空間分布型類似于負(正)位相的南極濤動(AAO)。春、夏季AAO處于正位相,一方面在年代際尺度上導致東亞夏季風減弱,另一方面在年際尺度上導致印度季風減弱,從而使得西沙夏季降水偏少、氣溫偏高、風速偏弱。

    Abstract:

    Based on the observed data from the Yongxing Island weather station in Xisha Islands of the South China Sea and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis datasets from 1960 to 2012, the characteristics of summer climate change in Xisha are analyzed, and relationships with the sealevel pressure in spring and summer in the Antarctic are discussed. The results show that there was a continuous decline of precipitation and increasing of temperature as well as remarkable weakening of wind velocity during 1960-2012 in Xisha, and meanwhile, there existed apparent interannual variability of the quasitwoyear and the decadal variability of 7 to 11 years. The results of regression analysis and correlation analysis demonstrate that the summer precipitation in Xisha was more than normal, the temperature is lower than normal, the wind velocity is more strong than normal when the sea level pressure in boreal summer and spring over the Antarctic is significantly higher than normal, resembling the negative phase of Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), and vice versa. The positive phase of AAO in spring and summer, on the one hand, resulted in the weak East summer monsoon at the interdecadal scale and led to the weak India monsoon at the interannual scale, on the other hand, inducing the decrease of precipitation and increase of temperature as well as the weakness of wind velocity in summer in Xisha.

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孫立,周順武,孫陽,陳少健,陳長丘,周海霞.南極濤動與西沙夏季氣候的關聯性[J].氣象科技,2018,46(2):292~298

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  • 收稿日期:2017-03-19
  • 定稿日期:2017-12-29
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  • 在線發布日期: 2018-05-02
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