離散點氣象要素平流外推模型
DOI:
作者:
作者單位:

作者簡介:

通訊作者:

中圖分類號:

基金項目:

雙動力卡爾曼濾波模型研究(廣東省氣象局科研項目編號:2016C11)資助


Advection Extrapolation Model of Meteorological Elements at Discrete Points
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 圖/表
  • |
  • 訪問統計
  • |
  • 參考文獻
  • |
  • 相似文獻
  • |
  • 引證文獻
  • |
  • 資源附件
  • |
  • 文章評論
    摘要:

    大氣平流方程一般用于格點場數值預報的處理,鮮有應用到離散點要素外推。離散點平流外推模型不僅使時間方向站點資料補缺更具物理意義,而且為站點要素的預報奠定基礎。模型首先根據站點離散特征,對平流方程進行改造,得到離散點風速、梯度本征向量,并通過頻數統計擬合出平流項似然概率的高斯表達式,以此計算出新平流方程數值解。通過對單點和多點的實況試驗,得出了模型的具體應用特點,并給出了一個實際的數據補缺場景,作用顯著。該模型具有小巧、高效,易用等特點,有良好的普適性,作為一個通用的數學模型,為離散點的要素預報提供了一種新的思路。

    Abstract:

    Atmospheric advection equations are generally used for numerical forecast on the grid field. It is rarely applied to the extrapolation of discrete elements. The extrapolation of model discrete elements not only makes the data filling in time more meaningful, but also lays the foundation for forecasting elements of a site. The model, based on discrete site characteristics, reforms the advection equation to get the wind speed of sites and gradient eigenvectors. The Gauss expression of the likelihood probability of the advection terms is fitted by the frequency statistics, and the numerical solution of the newstyle advection equation is calculated. Through the singlepoint and multipoint actual tests, the specific application characteristics of the model are obtained, and a real data filling case is given. The results indicate that it worked well. The model is compact, efficient and easy to use, has good universality. As a general mathematical model, it provides a new idea for the element prediction at discrete points.

    參考文獻
    相似文獻
    引證文獻
引用本文

湯沛,何險峰,胡駿楠,黃琰.離散點氣象要素平流外推模型[J].氣象科技,2017,45(6):1043~1048

復制
分享
文章指標
  • 點擊次數:
  • 下載次數:
  • HTML閱讀次數:
  • 引用次數:
歷史
  • 收稿日期:2016-11-29
  • 定稿日期:2017-08-16
  • 錄用日期:
  • 在線發布日期: 2017-12-28
  • 出版日期:
您是第位訪問者
技術支持:北京勤云科技發展有限公司
午夜欧美大片免费观看,欧美激情综合五月色丁香,亚洲日本在线视频观看,午夜精品福利在线
>