1951—2013年我國冬季氣溫年代際變化與PDO的關系
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江蘇省大學生實踐創新訓練計劃項目(201510300280)資助


Relationship between PDO and Interdecadal Change of Winter Temperature in China from 1951 to 2013
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    摘要:

    利用我國160個測站1951—2013年冬季月平均氣溫資料和1951—2016年間冬季太平洋年代際振蕩(PDO:Pacific Decadal Oscillation)指數資料,分析了兩者在年際和年代際時間尺度上的相關關系,探討了PDO對我國冬季氣溫影響的可能物理過程。結果發現:PDO與我國冬季氣溫年際變化不顯著;在冬季期間,PDO對我國氣溫的影響是滯后的;PDO與我國冬季氣溫年代際變化存在密切關系,當PDO處于年代際正(負)位相時,我國氣溫普遍偏高(低);PDO年代際分量對我國的影響機制為:當PDO指數位于年代際正(負)位相時段,海平面氣壓場上西伯利亞高壓減弱(增強),500 hPa高度場東亞大槽強度減弱(增強),200 hPa緯向風場東亞北支急流減弱(增強),這些都有利于我國冬季氣溫偏高(低)。

    Abstract:

    Relationships between Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and winter temperature in China and their characteristics are investigated by using the statistical method at the interrannual and interdecadal scalesThe correlation coefficients are calculated between the PDO index time series during the period of 1951 to 2016 and the observed surface air temperature of 160 stations throughout ChinaThe results exhibit that the relationship between PDO interannual variability and winter temperatures in China is not significant, but dramatically close relationship with China’s winter temperature interdecadal variability; in the PDO positive (negative) phase, the temperature is generally high (low). The influence mechanisms of PDO on China’s winter temperature are characterized by the following: in the PDO positive (negative) phase, the sea level pressure field in Siberian is weak (strong); the 500 hPa height field in the east Asian is weak (strong); and the 200 hPa zonal wind field in the east Asian jet stream is weak (strong), resulting in the high (low) winter temperature of China

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徐憶菲,彭麗霞,李季,申雙和.1951—2013年我國冬季氣溫年代際變化與PDO的關系[J].氣象科技,2017,45(4):669~677

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  • 收稿日期:2016-06-07
  • 定稿日期:2017-04-28
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  • 在線發布日期: 2017-08-30
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