安徽省茶葉春霜凍發生規律及風險分布
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國家科技計劃課題 基于云計算的農機社會化服務平臺研究與應用(2014BAD10B0502);氣象行業專項“水稻對高溫發生發展過程的響應機制及應用技術(GYHY201506018)”資助


Occurrence Regularity of Tea Spring Frost and Its Risk Distribution in Anhui Province
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    摘要:

    基于2010—2014年安徽省78個市縣茶園面積資料,把安徽省茶葉種植基地縣劃分為3個茶區。利用1980—2014年早春日最低氣溫觀測資料,計算了茶區各基地縣春霜終日、春霜日數和不同等級霜凍害發生頻率,并對其分布特征進行了分析。結果表明:近35 a安徽省茶區平均終霜期南部早于北部;春霜日數皖西大別山茶區出現最多,皖南黃山茶區最少。特晚終霜日和偏晚終霜日的指標日皖南宣城茶區均明顯遲于皖西和皖南黃山茶區。特晚終霜日主要發生在20世紀80年代,偏晚終霜日主要發生在80年代和90年代。近35年輕度春霜凍皖西大別山茶區(六安)發生頻率最高,中度和重度春霜凍皖南宣城茶區(績溪)發生頻率最高,輕度、中度和重度春霜凍發生頻率均隨年代呈下降趨勢。依據風險分析理論對安徽茶區基地縣進行了春霜凍風險分析,得出其風險的空間分布特點,結論可為指導春茶生產提供氣象保障。

    Abstract:

    Based on the tea planting area of 78 counties from 1980 to 2014, the paper divided the tea base counties into three main growing areas in Anhui province. Using the data of daily minimum temperature from 1980 to 2014 in the tea base counties, the last frost dates, the spring frost days, and the occurrence frequency of different grade frosts are calculated and its distribution characteristics are analyzed. The results show that the averaged last frost dates in the south is earlier than those in north, with the earliest occurred on 21 March, the latest on 6 April. In the three main growing areas, the Dabie mountain area has the most spring frost days, and Xuancheng is the next, and then Huangshan. The dates of extremelate frost and late frosts in Xuancheng appear obviously later than that in the Dabie Mountain and Huangshan. The extremely late frost mainly occurred in the 1980’s, and occurred only once in 2000. The late frosts appeared mainly in the 1980’s and 1990’s, and occurred only once after 2000. In recent 35 years, mild spring frost had the highest frequency in the Dabie Mountain (Lu’an), while moderate and severe spring frost had the highest frequency in Xuancheng (Jixi). The occurring frequencies of mild, moderate and severe spring frost show a declining trend. The tea frost damage risk in the base counties is analyzed according to the theory of risk analysis and the spatial distribution features are obtained. The conclusion can be a reference for disaster prevention and reduction.

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劉瑞娜,陳鵬.安徽省茶葉春霜凍發生規律及風險分布[J].氣象科技,2016,44(6):1060~1065

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  • 收稿日期:2015-12-31
  • 定稿日期:2016-04-12
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-12-26
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