應用全型散度方程診斷鄂東北一次梅雨強降雨
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國家自然科學基金(41375057、41328007、41105073)、暴雨監測預警湖北省重點實驗室暴雨研究開放基金(IHR201401)和我國暴雨災害信息情報(IHRKYYW201605)共同資助


Diagnostic Analysis of a Meiyu Heavy Rain in Northeast HubeiProvince by Using Divergence Equation
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    摘要:

    利用0.5°×0.5° GFS分析資料和常規氣象觀測資料,分析2013年7月5—7日鄂東北梅雨連續暴雨過程。結果表明:①降雨具有比較明顯的日變化,夜間加強,白天減弱;鄂東北低層輻合也有與降雨強度一致的日變化特點。②散度變率在高層出現正值、中低層出現負值有利于降雨加強,且這種變化比暴雨發生稍有提前。一般傍晚散度變率在低層即出現負值,這有利于夜間低層輻合加強。③利用全型散度方程2項組合診斷發現,雖然非線性平衡方程偏差項確是散度變率的主要項,但在降雨開始階段只有余項在低層出現較為明顯的負值。④利用全型散度方程4項組合診斷發現,邊界層水平風場輻合是降雨啟動因子之一;非地轉平衡項在近地面出現較大正值對于降雨減弱有較好的指示;與垂直運動有關的項在降雨峰值階段中層負值較大。

    Abstract:

    By using the 0.5°×0.5° GFS and conventional observational data, a Meiyu heavy rain took place from 5 to 7 in July 2013 over the northeastern Hubei Province is analyzed.The results show: (1) The rainfall has obvious diurnal variations: increased at night and decreased in the day time; the convergence at low levels had the same tendency with that of the rainfall.(2) Positive divergence variability at upper levels and negative divergence variability at middle and low levels were favorable to rainfall increase. These changes were ahead of the heavy rainfall. Negative divergence variability at low levels began in the evening, which was helpful to the convergence increase at low levels at night.(3) By the divergence equation with twoitem combination, it is found that although the deviation of the nonlinear balance equation is the main item of divergence variability, the remainder is the only item whose value became obviously negative in the beginning stage of the heavy rain. (4) By the divergence equation with fouritem combination, it is found that the convergence in the boundary layer was one of the rain trigger factor; the ageostrophic equilibrium item with large positive value in the near surface indicated the weakening of the rain well; and item in connection with upward motion had large negative values at the middle levels in the peak rain stage.

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張端禹,許建玉,趙玉春.應用全型散度方程診斷鄂東北一次梅雨強降雨[J].氣象科技,2016,44(6):1009~1015

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  • 收稿日期:2015-12-22
  • 定稿日期:2016-06-08
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-12-26
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