1953—2014年麗水日照時數周期演變規律
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麗水市高層次人才培養項目(2014RC24)、麗水氣候生態創新團隊項目(201514)資助


Periodic Variation of Sunshine Duration from 1953 to 2014 in Lishui
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    摘要:

    利用麗水市1953—2014年逐月日照資料,采用趨勢分析方法對年代際、年際和季節日照時數變化趨勢進行分析,利用Morlet小波分析和多窗口譜 (MultiTaper Method) 研究日照時數的周期特征,并重建顯著周期信號,分析日照時數不同時間尺度顯著周期的演變規律。結果表明:麗水日照時數呈極顯著下降趨勢,每10 a減少35%。夏季日照時數最多,且減少趨勢最明顯,其次是秋季。Morlet小波和多窗口譜分析結果均顯示:年代際尺度準12 a周期最為顯著,年際尺度6 a和2~4 a周期也較明顯。最顯著的準12 a周期信號,其振幅隨時間變化具有3個明顯的緩變包絡。

    Abstract:

    Based on the monthly sunshine dataset from the Lishui observation station from 1953 to 2014, the trend analysis method is used to analyze the interannual, decadal and seasonal trends of sunshine duration, and then the Morlet wavelet transform and MTM (MultiTaper Method) are applied to study the periodic characteristics of sunshine duration, and the significant periodic signals are reconstructed by MTM, to further study the lesssignificant periods on different time scales with the oscillation time of evolution. The results show that sunshine duration exhibits very significant decline trend in Lishui, with a rate of 3.5 percent per 10 years. The maximum sunshine duration is in summer, followed by that in autumn. The Morlet wavelet and MTM analysis results show that quasi12year cycle is the most significant in the whole time domain, with regular alternating positive and negative oscillations and the maximum spectral density; in addition, the cycles of 6 years and 2 to 4 years cycle are also apparent. The MTM reconstruction analysis indicates that the amplitudes of quasi12year periodic signals vary with time, and there are three distinct and slowly varying envelopes.

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吳昊旻,姜燕敏,盧釗,許賢彬.1953—2014年麗水日照時數周期演變規律[J].氣象科技,2016,44(6):1004~1008

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  • 收稿日期:2015-10-29
  • 定稿日期:2016-02-29
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-12-26
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