魯中南一次暴雨過程的特征和成因分析
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山東省氣象局預報員專項項目(SDYBY201405)、山東省氣象局科研專項(2013sdqx06)和山東省氣象局科研專項(2015sdqxm20)資助


Analysis of Circulation Characteristics and Physical Mechanism of a Heavy Rain Event in Central and Southern Shandong Province
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    摘要:

    利用常規氣象觀測資料、NCEP 1°×1°逐6 h的再分析資料、GPS可降雨資料和地閃定位資料,對2013年7月4—5日山東中南部出現的暴雨到大暴雨天氣過程的不同階段特征和成因進行了分析,結果表明:本次暴雨過程是冷暖切變線所引發,暴雨的水汽源于南海;低空急流的強弱和水汽通量的大小呈正相關;暖切變線暴雨的雨強、影響范圍和持續時間明顯大于冷切變線暴雨;冷、暖切變線GPS可降雨量表現不同,前者短時間內增幅大,地面強降雨在峰值出現1 h后發生,對地面降雨變化反映較敏感,后者強降雨出現前8 h可降雨量快速上升,可降雨量峰值對應地面降雨大值,對地面降雨變化反映不敏感;冷切變線對流性更強,地閃頻次為暖切變線降雨的2倍,正地閃頻次為暖切變線降雨的1/2,負地閃頻次為暖切變線降雨的2倍;降雨云團正、負地閃活躍程度呈反相位關系,正、負地閃的變化能很好地反映強降雨的變化;冷、暖切變線動力結構不同,前者物理量場從低層到高層向北傾斜,后者則為垂直分布;冷切變線上升運動區較暖切變線深厚。

    Abstract:

    By using the data of conventional meteorological observation, GPS precipitable water, lightning location, and NCEP 1° ×1 ° reanalysis grid point data on 4 and 5 July 2013, a heavy rain event occurred in the central and southern Shandong is analyzed from the characteristics of different stages and formation mechanisms. The results show that the vapor sources of the torrential rain came from the South China Sea; the strength of the lowlevel jet was positively related with that of the water vapor flux; the rainfall intensity, influence scope, and duration of warm shear line storms are bigger than these of cold shear line storms; the GPS precipitable water of cold and warm shear line storms is different. The positive and negative ground lightning activities of precipitation clouds show the antiphase relationship, and the change of the positive and negative ground lightning can well reflect the change of the heavy rain. The dynamical structures of cold and warm shear line storms are different: the physical quantity field of the former tilted to the north from low to high levels, and that of the latter distributed vertically. The upward movement area of cold shear line storm was deeper than that of warmer type shear line storms.

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朱義青,王慶華,曹張馳,張品竹.魯中南一次暴雨過程的特征和成因分析[J].氣象科技,2016,44(4):659~668

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2015-07-13
  • 定稿日期:2016-04-06
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-08-29
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