臺風“威馬遜”近海加強及引發廣西異常暴雨分析
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廣西自然科學基金(2013GXNSFAA019280)、廣西科技攻關項目(桂科攻13550108)資助


“Rammasun” Intensification in Near Sea and Induced Abnormal Rainstorm in Guangxi
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    摘要:

    利用MICAPS常規資料、中尺度自動站資料以及NCEP 、ECMWF等數值預報產品資料,采用天氣學診斷分析方法,對1409號超強臺風“威馬遜”近海加強、造成廣西異常暴雨的成因進行分析。結果表明:①“威馬遜”經過的海域溫度異常偏高,西南季風急流增強,以及垂直風切變小,有利于“威馬遜”近海加強;②“威馬遜”與季風急流在海南文昌近海相遇,促使臺風中心附近潛熱能持續增大,暖心結構更趨于完整,是“威馬遜”強度突然加強的重要原因;③充沛的水汽輸送和水汽輻合、強烈的上升運動是造成“威馬遜”異常暴雨的重要原因。

    Abstract:

    Using the MICAPS routine data, mesoscale automatic station data and the products of ECMWF and NCEP numerical forecasts, by means of the weather diagnosis analysis method, the causes of the super typhoon “Rammasun” intensification in the near sea and its leading severe weather disaster in Guangxi are analyzed. The results show: (1) the “Rammasun” intensification in the near sea is related to the following factors: the anomaly higher sea temperature in the area where it passed, the strengthened southwest monsoon jet, and the small vertical wind shear; (2) Rammasun met the monsoon jet near the offshore of Wenchang in Hainan, which made the latent heat enlarged near the typhoon and the warm heart structure of the typhoon became completed, which is an important reason for Rammasun intensification; (3) the abundant water vapor transport and convergence and strong ascending motion were the important reasons for the abnormal rainstorm.

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高安寧,李菁,陳見,祁麗燕.臺風“威馬遜”近海加強及引發廣西異常暴雨分析[J].氣象科技,2016,44(4):653~658

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  • 收稿日期:2015-07-10
  • 定稿日期:2015-11-04
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-08-29
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