武威市初、終霜日氣候特征
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公益性行業(氣象)科研專項(重大專項)“我國北方干旱致災過程及機理”(GYHY2015060012)、甘肅省氣象局第7批“十人計劃”資助


Climate Characteristic of First and Last Frost Dates in Wuwei
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    摘要:

    為了因地制宜,合理調整種植結構和布局,有效利用農業氣候資源。利用1961—2014年武威市4個氣象站點初、終霜日(最低地溫≤0 ℃)觀測資料,采用現代氣候診斷分析方法,系統分析了該市年初、終霜日的時空變化特征。結果表明:受海拔高度、地形地勢以及植被覆蓋情況的影響,在空間分布上,武威市初霜日為山區早于荒漠區早于綠洲平原區,終霜日為山區晚于荒漠區晚于綠洲平原區,各地初、終霜日存在一定的異常性,正常初、終霜日均在60%左右,對農業生產造成危害的偏早和特早初霜日、偏晚和特晚終霜日的概率均在20%左右。在時間變化上,武威市初霜日呈顯著推遲趨勢,終霜日呈顯著提早趨勢,霜期呈顯著縮短趨勢,終霜日提早的幅度比初霜日推遲的幅度更大。初霜日和終霜日的時間序列均分別存在著8~10年和9~11年的準周期變化。初霜日在1998年發生了氣候突變,終霜日在1996年發生了氣候突變。

    Abstract:

    Aiming to adjust measures to local conditions, reasonably adjust planting structure and layout, and effectively utilize agricultural climate resources, based on the observation dates of first frost day and last frost day (the minimum ground temperature less than 0 ℃) of 4 meteorological stations in from 1961 to 2014 over Wuwei, the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of the dates of first and last frost days are analyzed systematically with the climate diagnosis analysis method. The results show that the spatial distribution of the first frost date is the earliest in mountain regions, earlier in desert regions, and the latest in oasis plains in Wuwei; that of the last frost date is the latest in mountain regions, later in deserts and the earliest in oasis plains, because of the influence of altitude, topography, and vegetation cover. First and the last frost dates have certain abnormality in various regions. The occurrence possibility of normal first and the last frost dates is about 60%, and that of the abnormal cases such as the earlier and early frost, later and late frost dates that may cause hazards on agricultural production is all about 20%. First frost date assumes a significantly delayed trend, and last frost date assumes a significantly early trend. Frost period assumes a significantly short trend, and the advanced magnitude of last frost date is greater than the delayed magnitude of first frost date. The time series of first and last frost dates have the quasiperiodic variation of 8 to 10 years and 9 to 11 years, respectively. First frost date and last frost date have a climate abrupt change in 1998 and in 1996, respectively.

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丁文魁,楊曉玲,殷玉春,馬玉山.武威市初、終霜日氣候特征[J].氣象科技,2016,44(4):647~652

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  • 收稿日期:2015-08-14
  • 定稿日期:2016-02-15
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-08-29
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