滇池流域蒸發量時空變化特征及趨勢分析
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中國氣象局氣候變化專項(CCSF201508)、云南省氣象局氣候變化專項項目(QH201401)資助


Variation Characteristics and Trend of Evaporation in Dianchi Lake Basin
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    摘要:

    利用滇池流域5個氣象站1961—2010年逐月的20 cm口徑蒸發皿蒸發量觀測資料,分析了流域蒸發皿蒸發量的時空變化特征,與動力因子(風速)、熱力因子(平均氣溫、平均氣溫日較差、日照時數)、水分因子(降水量、相對濕度和水汽壓)和其他因子(總云量)進行相關性分析,并結合楚雄氣象站同期的蒸發皿蒸發量年際變化進行了對比分析。結果表明,滇池流域年際蒸發皿蒸發量存在2~4年為主的周期變化特征;近50年滇池流域年、春季和夏季蒸發皿蒸發量均呈明顯的下降趨勢,流域中部及以北大部地區蒸發皿蒸發量的下降趨勢較昆明氣象站周邊及流域的南部地區明顯;滇池流域與楚雄地區年、春、秋和冬季的蒸發皿蒸發量變化基本相似,但夏季蒸發量變化差異較大;與相關氣象因子的相關性分析表明,滇池流域蒸發皿蒸發量變化趨勢與熱力因子、動力因子呈正相關,與水分因子、其他因子呈負相關,其中平均氣溫日較差、日照時數、水汽壓和平均風速的影響較顯著。

    Abstract:

    Based on the monthly pan evaporation data of 5 meteorological stations over the Dianchi Lake basin from 1961 to 2010,the temporalspatial distributions of pan evaporation, and the correlations between the pan evaporation and the dynamical factor (wind speed), thermal factors (average temperature, average temperature diurnal range, and sunshine duration), the water factors (precipitation, relative humidity, and vapor pressure) and other factor (total cloud cover) are analyzed.The contrast of the annual variations of pan evaporation between the Chuxiong meteorological station and the Dianchi Lake basin during the same time is conducted. The results indicate that mainly 2 to 4 year period cycles can be detected in the annual variation of pan evaporation. In the recent 50 years,not only the annual pan evaporation, but also pan evaporation in spring and in summer showed a clearly downward trend in the Dianchi Lake basin. The downward trends of pan evaporation in the middle and north parts of the basin were more obvious than those in the south part of the basin and areas surrounding Kunming Station. The changes of annual, spring, autumn, and winter pan evaporation were basically similar in the Dianchi Lake basin and Chuxiong Station, but the changes of pan evaporations in summer were greatly different in the two areas. Correlation analysis between pan evaporation and meteorological factors shows that the trend of pan evaporation variation in the Dianchi lake basin was positively correlated with the heat factor and dynamic factor, and negatively correlated with water factor and total cloud cover. The effects of average temperature diurnal range, sunshine duration, vapor pressure, and wind speed were remarkable.

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吉文娟,楊曉鵬,張加云.滇池流域蒸發量時空變化特征及趨勢分析[J].氣象科技,2016,44(4):631~639

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  • 收稿日期:2015-08-06
  • 定稿日期:2016-04-06
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-08-29
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