利用雙線偏振雷達分析人工防雹作業效果
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北京市氣象局科技項目(BMBKJ201403013)和國家自然科學(青年)基金(41505117)資助


A Case Study of Effectiveness of Artificial Hail SuppressionBased on Dual Polarization Radar Data
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    摘要:

    以北京市平谷區2011年6月11日防雹作業為例,利用雙線偏振雷達資料,選取與作業區條件十分接近的云塊為對比區,根據回波移動方向和速度,跟蹤分析在不同高度上防雹作業前后云體宏觀結構特征和粒子相態等微物理變化過程。作業后云體所呈現特征為:①作業區的云頂高度、強回波中心高度迅速下降,對比區變化不明顯;②作業區水平反射率〖WTBX〗Z〖WTBZ〗h減小,差分反射率〖WTBX〗Z〖WTBZ〗dr 、零相關系數〖WTBX〗ρ〖WTBZ〗hv增大,單位差分傳播相移〖WTBX〗K〖WTBZ〗dp小范圍內波動,對比區〖WTBX〗Z〖WTBZ〗h、〖WTBX〗Z〖WTBZ〗dr 、〖WTBX〗K〖WTBZ〗dp變化不明顯;〖WTBX〗ρ〖WTBZ〗hv增大;③作業區對流減弱,高層較大冰雹粒子、大雨滴下沉明顯,最終以霰粒子為主;而對比區域則對流仍然旺盛,冰雹粒子有增多趨勢。以上特征表明防雹作業可有效抑制冰雹胚胎成長為冰雹的過程,通過偏振雷達觀測參量可對防雹作業效果進行較好的驗證。

    Abstract:

    The cloud macrostructure and microphysical characteristics such as particle phase are tracked and analyzed based on the polarization radar data during an artificial hail suppression operation on 11 June 2011. In the analysis, the clouds with the operational conditions similar to those of the seeding area are set as the control area. Both the control area and seeding area are analyzed at different heights before and after seeding based on the echo moving direction and velocity. The results show that the height of the cloud top and strong echo center in the seeding area fell rapidly after the seeding, but the variations in the control area were not obvious. In the seeding area, differential reflectivity〖WTBX〗 Z〖WTBZ〗dr and zero correlation coefficient 〖WTBX〗ρ〖WTBZ〗hv increased with decreasing horizontal reflectivity〖WTBX〗 Z〖WTBZ〗h and differential propagation phase shift 〖WTBX〗K〖WTBZ〗dp fluctuated in small scope. In the control area, 〖WTBX〗ρ〖WTBZ〗hv also increased but the variation of 〖WTBX〗Z〖WTBZ〗h、〖WTBX〗Z〖WTBZ〗dr and〖WTBX〗 K〖WTBZ〗dp were not obvious. In addition, in the seeding area, the convection weakened with obvious falling of large hail particles and big rain drops. In the end, most particles in the clouds were turned to graupel particles. However, in the control area, the convection was still prosperous with the increasing of hail particles. Thus, the characteristics above indicate that the hail suppression work can inhibit the growth from hail embryos into hail effectively, and the effectiveness of the hail suppression work can be better validated through the observing polarized radar parameters.

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陳羿辰,張龍斌,金永利,馬建立,嵇磊,秦睿.利用雙線偏振雷達分析人工防雹作業效果[J].氣象科技,2016,44(3):479~488

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  • 收稿日期:2015-05-21
  • 定稿日期:2015-11-10
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-06-23
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