新疆西南部一次局地對流性暴雨成因分析
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中國沙漠氣象科學研究基金(sqj201413)、新疆氣象局面上項目(MS201522)共同資助


Causal Analysis of a Local Convective Storm in Southwestern Xinjiang Province
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    摘要:

    利用常規地面和探空氣象資料、NCEP逐6 h 1°×1°的再分析資料和(CINRADCC)多普勒雷達探測資料,對2012年7月19日新疆阿圖什罕見的短時對流性暴雨形成原因進行了診斷分析。結果表明:此次天氣是在南疆低渦有利的環流背景下、低層中尺度低渦促進上升運動及觸發不穩定能量釋放產生的;冷空氣的入侵是造成對流擾動發展的重要原因,同時地面小尺度系統對觸發不穩定能量釋放也有一定的作用;渦散場的配置、垂直速度、低層偏東急流和強不穩定能量滿足了對流發生的基本條件,而較強的垂直風切變則使風暴明顯增強;從喀什探空訂正圖來看,修正后的探空資料中各要素對開展強對流潛勢預報有很好的指示意義,有待進一步總結驗證;對多普勒雷達資料的分析表明,此次強降水具有強回波、強的垂直風切變、大的垂直液態水含量和較高回波頂高等,與強對流天氣的發生發展及落區有較好的對應關系。

    Abstract:

    The formative causes of a shorttime convective rainstorm on 19 July 2012 at Atux in Xinjiang is analyzed based on multiple data including surface, radiosonde, Doppler weather radar, 6h 1°×1° NCEP reanalysis data, and automatic station data. The results show: (1) The weather process was triggered by the upward movement and instability energy release of a mesoscale cyclone at low levels on the background of a vortex located over the south Xinjiang. (2) The invasion of cold air was one of important reasons for the convective development, and the smallscale synoptic systems in surface also contributed to instability energy release. The basic convective conditions such as vorticity and divergence field configuration, vertical speed, lowlevel easterly jet, and strong unstable energy were fulfilled and enhanced by the severe vertical wind shear. (3) The corrected sounding data of Kasha was more indicative of severe convection potential forecast and still need further verification. (4) According to Doppler radar data, the strong echo reflectivity, severe vertical wind shear, richer vertical integrated liquid, and higher echo top have close relation with the development and precipitation of the weather process.

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肉孜·阿基,王金輝,阿依謝姆古麗·孜比不拉,王東,阿不都熱合曼·吐爾遜,支俊.新疆西南部一次局地對流性暴雨成因分析[J].氣象科技,2016,44(3):439~446

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  • 收稿日期:2015-04-26
  • 定稿日期:2016-01-21
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-06-23
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