強降水過程風廓線雷達資料的極值特征
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云南省氣象局2013年預報員專項項目(YB201306)資助


Characteristics of Extremes in WPR Data during Severe Convective Rainfall
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    摘要:

    為提高強降水天氣的短臨預報水平,分析了云南大理2008—2012年汛期地面強降水發生前風廓線雷達資料的極值特征。結果表明:強降水前0~1 h最大探測高度最高,強降水的強度與最大探測高度的量值和增幅呈正相關。強降水出現前1 h左右,向下的垂直速度極值最大,所對應的高度最低;且向下的垂直速度極值越大,強降水的強度也越大。在強降雨發生前1 h出現信噪比極值的峰值,該峰值越大,強降水的強度也越大。較強的強降水發生前3~4 h,在40 km高度附近有中尺度急流出現。

    Abstract:

    In order to promote the levels of shortterm forecasting and nowcasting of severe convective weather, the extremes of WPR (Wind Profiler Radar) data observed ahead of the occurrence of severe convective rainfall during rainy season from 2008 to 2012 in Dali are analyzed on the basis of large sample of related data. The results show: The maximum detection height of WPR reached its maximum 0 to 1 hours ahead of the appearance of heavy rainfall. The intensity of severe convective rainfall was positively associated with the maximum detection height and its increased range. Meanwhile, the negative vertical speed increased to maximum and its corresponding height decreased to the lowest 1 hour prior to the beginning of strong rainfall. The greater the negative vertical speed, the bigger the intensity of heavy rainfall was. Furthermore, the peak value of the extreme SNR (Signal to Noise Ratio) appeared 1 hour ahead of the appearance of strong rainfall. The intensity of strong rainfall was positively correlated with the peak value. The mesoscale lowlevel jet appeared 3 to 4 hours ahead of the occurrence of strong rainfall.

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陳紅玉,高月忠,尹麗云,鐘愛華,董保舉.強降水過程風廓線雷達資料的極值特征[J].氣象科技,2016,44(1):87~94

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2015-03-04
  • 定稿日期:2015-09-15
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-02-29
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