山東春季兩次強降雪過程對比分析
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國家自然科學基金“江淮氣旋暴雪天氣的形成機制及預報技術研究”(41475038)、中國氣象局預報員專項“濰坊春季回流暴雪的分析與預報方法研究”(CMAYBY2014039)、山東省氣象局重點課題“山東冬季降水相態特征及預報技術研究”(2013sdqxz02)、山東省濰坊市氣象局科研課題“濰坊冬半年降水相態預報方法研究”(2014wfkt01)共同資助


Comparative Analysis of Two Strong Snowstorms in Shandong in Spring
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    摘要:

    利用常規氣象觀測資料、區域自動站加密觀測資料和NCEP 1°×1°再分析資料,對山東2010年2月28日早春和2013年4月19日春季兩次極端暴雪天氣過程的環流形勢和影響天氣系統演變特征、水汽輸送條件以及物理量場特征進行了對比分析。結果表明:①兩次暴雪過程均受500 hPa高空槽、700 hPa切變線的影響,并有700 hPa低空西南風急流配合;②暴雪區上空均有一條明顯的能量鋒區,并伴有逆溫層,濕層深厚,垂直螺旋度呈上正下負的分布特點;強降雪落區位于水汽通量大值帶左側的水汽通量散度輻合中心附近;③18 km處冷空氣活動是判斷降雪結束的一個關鍵高度。不同之處在于:①“2〖DK〗·28”暴雪冷空氣自東北楔入,暖濕氣流被迫抬升,冷空氣發揮主動作用;“4〖DK〗·19”暴雪之前一直維持東北風,形成冷墊,暖濕氣流沿冷墊爬升,冷空氣發揮被動作用; ②“2〖DK〗·28”暴雪比“4〖DK〗·19”暴雪輻合上升運動出現的高度要高,上升運動的強度更強,不穩定層結更深厚。

    Abstract:

    Based on the conventional observational, automatic meteorological observing station, and the NCEP 1°×1° reanalyzed data, two extreme snowstorms in Shandong on 28 February in 2010 (“2〖DK〗·28” for short) and 19 April in 2013 (“4〖DK〗·19”) are comparatively analyzed. The results show that: (1) Both snowstorms were caused by the 500 hPa upperlevel trough, lowlevel southwest jet, and shear line at 700 hPa. The differences are that the cold air came from northeast before the “228” snowstorm and forced the warm and wet air to climb, which played an active role, while there were northeast winds and a “cold pad” formed before the “4〖DK〗·19”snowstorm, and the warm air clam climbed along the pad, in which the cold air played a passive role. (2) There was an obvious energy frontal zone, inversion layer, and thick wet layer in both snowstorms. The vertical helicity has a distribution characteristic of positive at lower levels and negative at upper levels. The snowstorm area was located in the large water vapor flux area near the left side of the vapor flux divergence center. The difference lied in: comparing with the “4〖DK〗·19”snowstorm, the “2〖DK〗·28”snowstorm has a higher rising height of convergence, stronger ascending motion, and more profound and unstable stratification.

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張芹,秦增良,張秀珍,王善芳,韓曉,王世杰,楊萌.山東春季兩次強降雪過程對比分析[J].氣象科技,2016,44(1):76~86

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  • 收稿日期:2015-03-09
  • 定稿日期:2015-07-13
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  • 在線發布日期: 2016-02-29
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