超強臺風“威馬遜”近海急劇加強特征及診斷分析
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柳州市應用氣象研究與開發計劃項目(2011J020107)資助


Features and Diagnostic Analysis of Rapid Intensity Change of Super Typhoon Rammasun over China Offshore Waters
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    摘要:

    利用NCEP/NCAR提供的全球客觀分析資料對1409號超強臺風“威馬遜”近海急劇加強的特征進行了診斷分析。結果表明:南海較高的海表溫度、中低層豐富的水汽凈流入為“威馬遜”增強提供了有利的能量條件;維持近22 h對流層深層、高層及低層介于0~4 m/s弱環境風垂直切變是“威馬遜”兩次以超強臺風登陸的必要條件;臺風中心附近對流層高層強烈輻散、中低層正渦度值的增大和正渦度柱向對流層上層的伸展導致“威馬遜”急劇增強;“威馬遜”臺風急劇增強具有一定前兆性,急劇增強與環境風垂直切變及對流層中低層渦度值的響應時間分別為12 h和9 h。

    Abstract:

    Based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the characteristics of Rammasun over the offshore of China are analyzed using the synoptic and dynamic diagnosis methods. The results show that high SST in the South China Sea and the abundant water vapor transport at lower and middle levels provided favorable energy for the intensification of Rammasun; weak vertical environmental wind shear between 0 to 4 ms-1 at lower, middle, and upper levels, which maintained nearly 22 hour, was a necessary condition for supertyphoon Rammasun landing two times; strong divergence at the upper level, positive vorticity which enlarged at the lower level, and the positive vorticity column stretched to the upper troposphere resulted in Rammasun increased sharply; there was a time lag of about 12 hours between the vertical wind shear change and the typhoon’s rapid intensity change; and the changing of vorticity at the lower troposphere was also about 9 hours earlier than typhoon strengthening.

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劉蕾,陳茂欽,李煜,邢蕊.超強臺風“威馬遜”近海急劇加強特征及診斷分析[J].氣象科技,2015,43(6):1149~1156

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  • 收稿日期:2014-11-24
  • 定稿日期:2015-04-01
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  • 在線發布日期: 2015-12-29
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