煙臺市蒸發量變化趨勢及影響因子
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Variation Tendency of Evaporation in Yantai and Its Influencing Factors
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    摘要:

    利用煙臺市1971—2010年蒸發量、氣溫、日照、降水和總云量資料,采用線性回歸、相關分析、小波分析、逐步回歸方法,對蒸發量變化趨勢及其影響因子進行分析。結果表明,煙臺年蒸發量存在2~3年的主周期和4~8、8~12年的次周期變化,春季、夏季、秋季和冬季蒸發量分別存在3~5、5~7、7~11和2~4年的周期變化。平均相對濕度的增加和日照時數的減少是蒸發量減少的主要原因,而影響各季節蒸發量變化的氣象因子各有不同。日照時數和總云量是影響夏秋季節蒸發量變化的最主要因子,秋冬季節的蒸發量主要受平均相對濕度、日照時數和總云量的共同影響。

    Abstract:

    With the pan evaporation data, temperature, sunlight, precipitation, and some other meteorological data from 1971 to 2010 in Yantai, the changes in pan evaporation characteristics are analyzed. By using the linear regression, correlation analysis, wavelet analysis, and stepwise regression analysis methods, effects of meteorological factors on the changes of evaporation are analyzed. The results show that there existed periodic variation in annual evaporation with the main periods of 2 to 3 years and the periods of 4 to 8 and 8 to 12 years; there were periodic changes of 3 to 5, 5 to 7, 7 to 11, and 2 to 4 years, respectively, in evaporation in spring, summer, autumn, and winter. Increased average relative humidity and reduced sunshine duration brought about the reduction in annual evaporation, and factors influencing the changes of evaporation in different seasons were different. Sunshine duration and total cloud cover were the most important in summer and autumn. While in autumn and winter evaporation is mainly affected by average relative humidity, sunshine duration, and total cloud cover jointly.

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王冰,余錦華,林修棟,劉君秀,王培濤.煙臺市蒸發量變化趨勢及影響因子[J].氣象科技,2015,43(6):1127~1132

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  • 收稿日期:2014-11-12
  • 定稿日期:2015-03-31
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  • 在線發布日期: 2015-12-29
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