近30年北京氣候舒適度城郊變化對比分析
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北京市科技計劃項目(Z131106003513009)、北京市氣象局城市氣候評估創新團隊建設計劃、國家自然科學基金項目(41105103)和國家氣象公益性行業科研專項(201106032)資助


Comparative Analysis of Urban and Rural Climate Comfortabilities in Beijing in Past 30 Years
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    摘要:

    利用北京市城郊20個氣象觀測站1981—2010年30年氣象資料,計算了20個站點的逐日舒適度指數,并統計了北京城郊夏季最熱舒適度、冬季最冷舒適度的年平均值以及炎熱日數、酷熱日數、寒冷日數和嚴寒日數,最終分析給出了北京舒適度的年際和空間變化特征以及城郊舒適度差異。結果表明:20世紀80年代,北京夏季最熱舒適度在炎熱標準以下,城郊差異不大;90年代至今增熱趨勢明顯,炎熱和酷熱日數顯著增多,特別是平原地區炎熱和酷熱日數分別增加到40天和8天,且炎熱和酷熱日數空間分布范圍不斷擴大,2000年后擴大到除朝陽區東部以外的大部分主城區。相比較郊區而言,城區的熱舒適度指數和變熱幅度大,山前平原比山區熱。且城區的冬季暖于郊區,寒冷和嚴寒日數也低于郊區,這種差距從80年代中后期逐漸明顯,最大差距一年能達到10~20天;90年代后嚴寒區域范圍逐漸縮小,平原地區的寒冷日數較80年代平均減少10天。

    Abstract:

    Based on the meteorological data of 20 stations in Beijing form 1981 to 2010, the daily comfort indexes in 20 stations and the annual averages of warmest and coldest comfort indexes in urban and rural areas are calculated, as well as hot days, extreme hot days, cold days and severe cold days. The time and spatial variation characteristics of comfort indexes in urban and rural sites are analyzed, and the differences between urban and rural comfort indexes are compared. The results show that in the 1980s, there was no obvious difference between urban and rural sites in the warmest comfort index under the hot standard; however, since the 1990s, the summer comfort was warming obviously, and hot days and extreme hot days increased significantly, especially in the plain area. The spatial distribution of hot days and extreme hot days constantly extended, which extended to the most part of the urban area except for the eastern Chaoyang district after 2000. 〖JP2〗The warming magnitude was larger in urban areas than in rural areas, and it was warmer in plain areas than in mountain areas. The winters were warmer in Urban areas than in rural areas, and cold days and severe cold days were also less in the urban areas than in rural areas. The gap became obvious gradually from the mid and late 1980s, and the biggest gap can be up to 10 to 20 days in a year. The severe cold area reduced since the 1990s, and the cold days reduced 10 days compared with the 1980s.〖JP〗

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房小怡,李磊,杜吳鵬,黨冰,程宸,舒文君.近30年北京氣候舒適度城郊變化對比分析[J].氣象科技,2015,43(5):918~924

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  • 收稿日期:2014-09-25
  • 定稿日期:2015-03-30
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  • 在線發布日期: 2015-11-02
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