山東夏季兩次切變線暴雨過程對比分析
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山東省氣象局面上課題2013sdqx04、山東省氣象局預報員專項資助sdyby201214資助


Comparison Analysis of Two ShearlineCaused Rainstorm Processes in Shandong
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    摘要:

    利用常規觀測資料、衛星云圖、多普勒天氣雷達和NCEP1°×1°再分析資料,對2012年7月30日和2013年7月9日山東出現的兩次區域性暴雨進行了對比分析,結果表明:兩次850 hPa切變線造成的暴雨,線狀MCS(Mesoscale Convective System)組織化程度高,地面輻合線觸發了暴雨的發生。不同的是:①“7〖DK〗·30”暴雨500 hPa影響系統為階梯槽,副高位于朝鮮半島以東;“7〖DK〗·9”暴雨為典型的東高西低形勢,副高控制華東沿海;②“7〖DK〗·30”暴雨受一股較強的東南氣流作用,將東海及西太平洋水汽輸送到暴雨區,925 hPa水汽通量散度和最強上升速度較“7〖DK〗·9”暴雨分別大-10 g〖DK〗·hPa-1〖DK〗·cm-2〖DK〗·s-1和-0.2 Pa〖DK〗·s-1,“7〖DK〗·9”暴雨由低空西南急流將南海的水汽輸送到暴雨區,925 hPa水汽通量和比濕較“7〖DK〗·30”暴雨分別大2~4 g〖DK〗·cm-1〖DK〗·hPa-1〖DK〗·s-1和2 g〖DK〗·kg-1;③兩次暴雨過程MCS發生發展過程、形成方式和成熟期組織結構存在顯著差異,“7〖DK〗·30”暴雨是對流單體獨立發展逐漸合并成β中尺度,最終形成α中尺度對流系統,“7〖DK〗·9”暴雨為多個對流單體合并為β中尺度系統。通過分析得出,切變線暴雨觸發機制應著眼于地面輻合線的形成和加強以及冷空氣侵入引起的鋒生。

    Abstract:

    Using the conventional observations, satellite images and, Doppler radar and NCEP, 1°×1° reanalysis data, a comparative analysis is made of the MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) developing characteristics, environmental conditions, and triggering mechanisms between the two regional rainstorms on 30 July 2012 and 9 July 2013 in Shandong. The results show that the two processes were caused by the shear lines at 850 hPa; the lineshaped MCS was the direct cause, and the ground convergence line triggered the rainstorms. They have different synoptic systems at 500 hPa. The rainstorm on 30 July 2012 occurred under the domination of highlevel stepped slot, but the rainstorm on 9 July 2013 occurred in a typical context of “high in the east and low in the west.” The water vapor supply of the rainstorm on 30 July 2012 was from the East Sea and Western Pacific Ocean, and dynamic conditions were more favorable, with the water vapor flux divergence and specific humidity at 925 hPa being 10 g〖DK〗·hPa-1〖DK〗·cm-2〖DK〗·s-1and -0.2 Pa〖DK〗·s-1larger than those on 9 July 2013; while the storm on 9 July 2013 carried water vapor to the raining area from the South Sea, whose moisture conditions were more favorable. For two processes, the occurrence and development processes of MCSs and the ways to form and the structure at the mature stage were significantly different. In the rainstorm process on 30 July 2012, convective cells gradually merged into βmesoscale and finally into αmesoscale convective systems. In the storm on 9 July 2013, multiple convective cells merged into βmesoscale. Analyzing their trigger mechanisms, it is found that key points of shearline rainstorm trigger mechanisms are the formation and strengthening of the ground convergence line,as well as the frontogenesis caused by cold air intrusion.

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楊學斌,代玉田,崔淼,周成,陳華凱,張優琴.山東夏季兩次切變線暴雨過程對比分析[J].氣象科技,2015,43(4):688~696

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  • 收稿日期:2014-07-21
  • 定稿日期:2014-12-09
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  • 在線發布日期: 2015-08-28
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