雙臺風“天秤”和“布拉萬”相互作用診斷分析
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上海市氣象局面上項目(MS201211、MS201409)資助


Diagnostic Analysis of Interaction between Binary Typhoons Tembin and Bolaven
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    摘要:

    利用常規觀測資料和FNL資料,對1214號臺風“天秤”和1215號臺風“布拉萬”的相互作用進行了診斷分析,結果表明: “天秤”的路徑復雜多變,“布拉萬”路徑比較穩定,在“天秤”的回旋打轉過程中,通過引入蘭金渦理論模型,對“藤原效應”引起的雙臺風互旋角速度進行量化分析,可以看出,“天秤”和“布拉萬”之間的“藤原效應”對“天秤”的轉向起了決定性的作用,環境場的引導作用較小。通過對臺風進行受力分析,可以發現總壓力對“天秤”的回旋打轉影響較小,而對“布拉萬”的移動路徑影響顯著。 “布拉萬”強度更強、個頭更大,是雙臺風發生“藤原效應”的主要因素。

    Abstract:

    Using the conventional observation data and FNL data, the interaction between binary typhoons Tembin and Bolaven is analyzed. The results show that the path of Tembin was complicated, while that of Bolaven was relatively stable. For the cyclotron period of Tembin, through the introduction of Rankin vortex theory model, the mutual rotation angular velocity between binary typhoons caused by Fujiwara effect is quantitatively analyzed. It can be seen that the Fujiwara effect between binary typhoons Tembin and Bolaven played a decisive role to the steering of Tembin, while the guidance of the environment field had less effect. Through force analysis, find that the total pressure had less effect on the steering of Tembin, but obvious effect on the moving path of Bolaven. Bolaven had stronger strength and larger volume, which is the main cause of Fujiwara effect between binary typhoons Tembin and Bolaven.

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朱智慧,黃寧立,問曉梅.雙臺風“天秤”和“布拉萬”相互作用診斷分析[J].氣象科技,2015,43(3):506~511

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  • 收稿日期:2014-04-25
  • 定稿日期:2015-01-05
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  • 在線發布日期: 2015-06-30
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