基于CI的呼倫貝爾市40年生長季氣象干旱強度分析
DOI:
作者:
作者單位:

作者簡介:

通訊作者:

中圖分類號:

基金項目:

呼倫貝爾市氣象局業務應用開發項目“呼倫貝爾市氣候特點及演變分析”資助


Temporal and Spatial Patterns of Droughts for Recent 40 Years in Hulun Buir Based on Meteorological Drought Composite Index
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 圖/表
  • |
  • 訪問統計
  • |
  • 參考文獻
  • |
  • 相似文獻
  • |
  • 引證文獻
  • |
  • 資源附件
  • |
  • 文章評論
    摘要:

    利用呼倫貝爾市16個氣象臺站1973—2012年逐日氣象觀測資料,計算4—10月生長季期間逐日CI指數并統計分析呼倫貝爾市生長季氣象干旱強度特征,利用空間差值、線性回歸、信噪比檢驗、M K突變檢驗和小波分析方法對干旱強度的空間分布、隨時間的變化、突變發生情況及氣象干旱發生周期進行分析。分析表明,呼倫貝爾市氣象干旱發生頻率最高為牧區,強度由西南牧區向東北林區遞減,春季氣象干旱有減輕趨勢,而夏、秋季節干旱有加重趨勢,牧區秋旱的加重趨勢尤為顯著,農區的變化周期較長,為19~24年,而林區、牧區的變化周期較短,為5~12年和7~12年。

    Abstract:

    By means of the daily observations data of 16 meteorological stations over Hulun Buir from 1973 to 2012, the day to day meteorological drought Composite Index (CI) in the growth season (from April to October) is calculated, and the characteristics of drought strength in Hulun Buir are analyzed. Using the methods of linear regression, signal to noise ratio test, M K mutation testing, and wavelet analysis, the spatial distribution, variation with time, mutation, and periodicity of drought intensity are studied. Analysis shows that meteorological droughts occur most frequently in the pastoral areas, with the strength decreasing from the southwest pastoral area to the northeast forest area; spring droughts have a decreasing trend, while summer, autumn droughts aggravating trends, particularly in the pastoral area in autumn; the variation periods in the agricultural areas are longer, 19 to 24 years, and those in the forest and pastoral areas are shorter, 5 to 12 years and 7 to 12 years.

    參考文獻
    相似文獻
    引證文獻
引用本文

曲學斌.基于CI的呼倫貝爾市40年生長季氣象干旱強度分析[J].氣象科技,2015,43(1):103~107

復制
分享
文章指標
  • 點擊次數:
  • 下載次數:
  • HTML閱讀次數:
  • 引用次數:
歷史
  • 收稿日期:2014-02-21
  • 定稿日期:2014-05-30
  • 錄用日期:
  • 在線發布日期: 2015-02-13
  • 出版日期:
您是第位訪問者
技術支持:北京勤云科技發展有限公司
午夜欧美大片免费观看,欧美激情综合五月色丁香,亚洲日本在线视频观看,午夜精品福利在线
>