浙江省四季劃分方法探討
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Investigation of Methods for Season Division in Zhejiang Province
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    摘要:

    利用1971—2011年浙江省63個站逐日氣溫資料,結合物候觀測資料,經過統計計算及對比分析,發現運用候溫法來判斷換季時間常造成換季偏晚;運用氣象學法和氣候學法則會造成換季偏早,也很容易造成換季偏晚;各種方法造成的換季異常在各地區呈現出不同的特征。而分析各種方法造成換季時間異常的主要原因,基本都是由于期間幾天的氣溫波動導致換季條件不滿足造成的,波動持續時間一般不長,以3~5天為主,波動幅度一般也不大。因此充分考慮各種方法的優缺點,并考慮盡量減少氣溫波動的影響,總結出一套能夠解決這些方法存在的問題,并且相對合理、適用于浙江地區的四季劃分方法,得到的結果大大減少了其他方法偏早或由弱冷空氣造成的偏晚現象,全省平均四季換季時間分別為3月16日、5月29日、9月30日、12月8日,換季明顯偏早或偏晚的頻次較其他方法明顯減少,在全省各地區均比較符合物候現象。

    Abstract:

    Using the daily temperature data from 63 stations from 1971 to 2011 over Zhejiang Province, combining with the phenology data, statistical calculations and comparative analysis are conducted. The results show that the seasons often start later by the method of pentad temperature and earlier or later with the methods of meteorology and climatology; the abnormal season start dates caused by different methods exhibit different characteristics in various regions. The main reasons for the abnormal season start dates are analyzed, and the results indicate that abnormal cases occur mainly when the temperature fluctuation of several days leads to the unsatisfied conditions of season change, but the lasting time of the fluctuations is not long generally, mainly in 3 to 5 days, and the fluctuation range is not great. So considering fully the advantages and disadvantages of various methods and the influence of temperature fluctuation, a method is presented, which is reasonable relatively and applicable to Zhejiang Province and can solve the problems of these methods. The provincial average start dates of seasons are 16 March, 29 May, 30 September, and 8 December. The frequency of seasons starting earlier or later reduced obviously, compared with other methods,and the result is more in line with the phenology in each region.

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郁珍艷,吳利紅,高大偉,樊高峰.浙江省四季劃分方法探討[J].氣象科技,2014,42(3):474~481

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  • 收稿日期:2013-03-26
  • 定稿日期:2013-12-06
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  • 在線發布日期: 2014-06-30
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