雙偏振天氣雷達測雨誤差及水凝物識別分析
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四川省環境保護重大科技專項(2013HBZX01)和相控陣多普勒天氣雷達預研項目(40701030101)共同資助


Analysis of Dual Polarization Weather Radar Rainfall Measuring Errors and Hydrometeor Identification
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    摘要:

    利用北京2011年12次降雨過程的C波段雙偏振天氣雷達資料和自動站雨量資料,統計了不同雨強下的差分反射率因子ZDR、差分傳播相移率KDP、相關系數ρhv值分布,重點對4種雷達測雨方程的測雨效果和誤差進行了分析,并運用實例分析了雙偏振產品在水凝物識別中的應用。得到了如下結論:①隨著雨量的增強,ZDR、KDP和ρhv逐漸變大;冰雹對應的ZDR為負值,KDP比大雨大但小于暴雨;小雨到暴雨ρhv都超過090,冰雹的平均ρhv最小,僅為0804。②對于4種雷達測雨方程,在小中雨時均高估了雨強,在大雨時均低估了雨強,但3種含KDP、ZDR的測雨方程比I〖CD*2〗ZH方程的低估誤差要小,在短時暴雨時,這3種方程的估測效果有明顯的提高,4個方程中I〖CD*2〗KDP〖CD*2〗ZDR方程的估測效果最優,穩定性最好。③水凝物識別實例分析表明,利用雙偏振產品可以更直接有效地判斷冰雹等水凝物,能清晰地揭示出零度層亮帶上下的水凝物相態并判斷出零度層亮帶高度。

    Abstract:

    The data from C band dual polarization weather radar and rainfall data from automatic weather stations during 12 synoptic processes in 2011 in Beijing are used for the value distribution calculation of ZDR, KDP and ρhv, with emphases on the effectiveness and errors of rainfall measuring by means of four radar rainfall estimation equations. The application of dual polarization weather radar products to hydrometeors identification is discussed by using some actual examples. It is concluded: (1) ZDR, KDP and ρhv can be enlarging gradually as rainfall intensity increasing; ZDR of hail is negative, and KDP of hail is larger than that of heavy rains, but smaller than that of torrential rains; ρhvof both light and moderate rainfall exceed 090, but the mean value of hails is only 0804 (2) The four radar rainfall estimation equations all overvalue the light and moderate rains and underestimate heavy rains, but the measuring errors of three rainfall estimation equations containing ZDR and KDP are smaller than that of the 〖WTBX〗I〖KG-*8〗〖CD*2〗〖KG-*8〗Z〖WTBZ〗H equation. As for short term rainstorms, the effectiveness of these three equations has obvious improvement, and the best is the I〖CD*2〗KDP〖CD*2〗〖KG-*8〗ZDR equation. (3) The case analysis of hydrometeors identification indicates that the estimate of hydrometeors (such as hail) is more direct and effective by using dual polarization products, which can reveal the hydrometeor phase state more clearly and judge the height of the 0 ℃ layer bright zone.

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鄭佳鋒,張杰,朱克云,高細橋,張濤.雙偏振天氣雷達測雨誤差及水凝物識別分析[J].氣象科技,2014,42(3):364~372

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  • 收稿日期:2013-04-23
  • 定稿日期:2013-12-12
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  • 在線發布日期: 2014-06-30
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