近50年西南地區秋雨監測指標的建立及成因分析
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國家自然科學基金面上項目“華西秋雨年際變化規律及其形成機理研究”(41275097)資助


Monitoring Index and Causes of Autumn Rains over Southwest China in Recent 50 Years
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    摘要:

    利用西南地區四川、重慶、云南和貴州秋季降水量和日照時數資料,對西南地區秋雨極端天氣氣候事件的監測指標進行了探討,最終定義連續5天以上日降水量大于等于01 mm,且日照時數小于等于01 h的天氣過程為1次秋雨事件。以此指標得出西南秋雨事件主要發生在四川盆地中南部、重慶西部、云南東北部和貴州北部等地區,秋雨最強中心平均每年發生華西秋雨事件可達16次以上,年平均秋雨日數大于11天。近50年西南秋雨強度呈波動下降趨勢。結合NCEP/NCAR同期的位勢高度場、水汽場以及風場資料對西南秋雨的成因分析表明: 在秋雨強年,500 hPa高度場上極區氣壓偏高,中緯地區氣壓偏低,西風環流較弱,副高脊線易偏北,印緬槽較深。850 hPa高度場上在西南秋雨較強的區域有一個明顯的水汽匯,在風場上也有較強的來自孟加拉灣和印度洋水汽輸送。垂直經圈環流和緯圈環流有明顯的上升運動與之配置。

    Abstract:

    By using the data of precipitation and sunshine duration in Sichuan,Chongqing,Yunnan and Guizhou over Southwest China,the monitoring indexes of autumn rainfall over Southwest China for extreme weather and climate events are discussed. An autumn rain event is defined as: with the number of successive rainy days greater than 5; the amounts of precipitation more than 01 mm; and the sunshine duration less than 01 hour. This index can describe the disaster characteristics of continuity and less sunshine of autumn rain events over Southwest China.The results indicate that autumn rain events in Southwest China happen mainly in the middle and south of the Sichuan basin,western Chongqing,northeastern Yunnan and northern Guizhou, with the occurrence frequency being more than 16 times per year in the central area of the region and the average number of rainy days being over 11 The intensity of autumn rainfall over Southwest China exhibits a downtrend with fluctuation.Combining with the simultaneous NCEP/NCAR data of the geopotential height fields, water vapor field and wind data, the causes of autumn rainfall over Southwest China are systematically analyzed. The results indicate that in severe autumn rain years, the pressure at 500 hPa in the polar zone is quite high, and the subtropical ridge line is northward and the Indian and Burma trough is deeper. In the area where the autumn rain is severe,there is an obvious water vapor convergence at 850 hPa over Southwest China. There is an upward motion working along with the vertical latitudinal and longitudinal circulation.

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孫昭萱,楊小波,馬振峰.近50年西南地區秋雨監測指標的建立及成因分析[J].氣象科技,2013,41(5):883~888

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  • 收稿日期:2012-07-12
  • 定稿日期:2013-05-13
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  • 在線發布日期: 2013-10-31
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