近58年南岳高山氣溫變化特征及與低海拔地區對比
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財政部/科技部公益類行業專項(GYHY201306016)、中國氣象局成都高原氣象研究所高原氣象開放基金課題(LPM2011008)和衡陽市科技局社會發展科技支撐項目(2010KS07)資助


Temperature Variation Contrast between Nanyue Mountain and Low Elevation Areas in Past 58 Years
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    摘要:

    運用線性回歸對南岳高山氣象站自建站以來(1953—2010年)的年、季平均氣溫、最高(低)氣溫進行氣候趨勢分析,同時用非參數Mann Kendall檢驗(MK檢驗)和滑動T 檢驗確定其突變位置。通過上述方法,獲得半個多世紀以來在近對流層自由大氣底部這一特定高度上,南岳高山氣溫變化規律。通過與衡山縣、衡陽市近50年氣溫變化對比,分析南岳高山與低海拔地區氣溫變化的差異性及城市化對其影響程度,結果表明:近58年來,在周邊環境變化很少且受人類活動影響不大的前提下,南岳高山年平均氣溫、最高(低)氣溫呈顯著上升趨勢,分別上升了10 ℃、08 ℃和11 ℃;四季平均氣溫和最低氣溫均呈上升趨勢,而最高氣溫除了在夏季出現呈微弱下降趨勢外,其余季節呈上升趨勢;年平均和最低氣溫在1996年發生了突變,而最高氣溫突變點不明顯;城市化發展對當地氣溫上升有一定的加強作用,但觀測環境改變,對夏季氣溫變化影響更為明顯。

    Abstract:

    The linear regression method is used to analyze the climatic trends in annual and seasonal mean temperatures observed at the Nanyue Mountain Observatory (2730°N, 11270°E, 1266 m ASL) from 1953 to 2011 Also the non parametric Mann Kendall (MK) test and running average 〖WTBX〗t〖WTBZ〗 test are performed to check the abrupt changes. Using a variety of analytical methods, the temperature variation regularity in more than half a century in Nanyue Mountain in the troposphere near the bottom of the atmosphere is obtained. The differences in temperature variation between Nanyue mountain and Low elevation areas (Hengshan and Hengyang) and the impaction of urbanization are analyzed. The results indicate that the annual mean daily averaged, maximum and minimum temperatures present significant upward trends in the past 58 years, with the increasing being 10, 08, and 11 ℃ per one year, respectively, and the little surrounding environment change and human activities influence. Mean temperature and minimum temperatures present increasing trends obviously in all seasons, except for an insignificant decreasing trend in summer related to daily maximum temperature. The annual mean daily and minimum temperatures changed suddenly in 1996 The daily maximum temperatures present positive anomalies in most of the period. Urbanization had certain positive contribution to the local temperature rising; the observing environment had a major influence on temperature variations in summer.

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陳濤,葉成志,陳德橋,張劍明,羅常存.近58年南岳高山氣溫變化特征及與低海拔地區對比[J].氣象科技,2013,41(4):713~719

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  • 收稿日期:2012-03-21
  • 定稿日期:2012-06-05
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  • 在線發布日期: 2013-08-27
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