近51年陜西霧時空變化及大氣環流特征
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陜西省氣象局科技創新基金(2013M 37、2011M 5)資助


Characteristics of Fog Spatial Temporal Patterns and Atmospheric Circulation in Last 51 Years over Shaanxi Province
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    摘要:

    利用1960—2010年陜西76個臺站地面觀測中的天氣現象(霧)資料、NCEP/NCAR逐月再分析資料,基于EOF、小波分析、回歸分析方法探討了陜西霧的時空變化特征以及與霧日多發季節相聯系的大氣環流異常,主要結論如下:①陜西霧地域性分布特征明顯,空間上呈“三高三低”態勢,河流或水域對霧的空間分布有重要影響,但不起決定作用;②年際上,陜西平均霧日數在20世紀80年代中后期至90年代霧日達到峰值,季節上,秋冬季霧日數占全年霧日數的665%以上;③SEOF分析表明陜西不同區域霧多發季節具有明顯差異, 8—10月關中北部霧明顯偏多,峰值出現在9月,10—12月陜南、關中霧偏多,峰值出現在11月;④年際變化的時間尺度上陜西霧主要表現為東西振蕩(EOF1)和南北振蕩兩個主模態(EOF2);⑤與霧日多發季EOF1相聯系的環流異常表現為東亞中低緯度大陸上海平面氣壓(SLP)、500 hPa位勢高度異常偏高,陜西位于850 hPa平均風場上反氣旋性環流中心附近;當反氣旋性異常環流位置偏西偏北(EOF2),北風異常分量偏強時,從海上來的水汽輸送偏南,從而導致陜北霧偏少,關中、陜南霧偏多。

    Abstract:

    Using the ground based weather phenomena (fog) observations data of 76 stations over Shaanxi Province, and the monthly re analyzed NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset from 1960 to 2010, by menas of the EOF, wavelet, and regression analysis methods, the spatial temporal change characteristics of Shaanxi fogs and associated atmospheric circulation abnormity in the fog prone season are studied. The results show that: (1) Shaanxi fogs have obviously regional distributional feature, with three high and low frequency centers of fog days; rivers have significant influence on fog distribution, but it is not the main cause. (2) The average number of fog days reaches the peak from the middle and late 1980s to 1990s; the number of autumn fog days accounts more than 665% of fog days for the whole year. (3) The SEOF analysis shows that the number of fog days differs from one place to another. From August to October, fogs mainly appear in the north of Guanzhong, reaching the peak in September, while from October to December in the south of Shaanxi and in Guanzhong, reaching the peak in November. (4) The inter annual variability of Shaanxi fog mainly includes two modals: EOF1 and EOF2 (5) The circulation anomalies are associated to EOF1, which shows that SLP and 500 hPa geopotential heights over the land at middle latitudes in East Asia are abnormally higher. Shaanxi lies near the center of anticyclonic circulation over the 850 hPa average wind field, so when the anticyclonic anomalous circulation is in the west north and the northerly abnormal component is stronger, and the water vapor transport from the sea is in the south, fogs in Shaanxi are relatively rare in the north, and abundant in the central and southern Shaanxi.

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張宏芳,張科翔,潘留杰,錢啟榮.近51年陜西霧時空變化及大氣環流特征[J].氣象科技,2013,41(4):703~712

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  • 收稿日期:2012-02-08
  • 定稿日期:2012-08-06
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  • 在線發布日期: 2013-08-27
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