雷電災害風險評估中PC因子選擇方法
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氣象關鍵技術集成與應用項目“風電場雷電風險評估及防雷關鍵技術應用”(CMAGJ2011M09)資助


Selection Method of Pc in Lightning Disaster Risk Evaluation
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    摘要:

    PC 因子是指雷電災害風險評估中雷擊建(構)筑物導致電氣電子系統失效的概率參數值,該因子的選取方法直接影響評估結果的準確度。通過對PC因子的分析,從概念出發,探討定量計算該因子參數值的方法,得出結論:選取PC 因子的參數值既要依據國家標準判斷分析電涌保護器(SPD)的設計合理性及SPD的保護局限性,又需要通過當地閃電定位歷史資料的統計分析來確定雷電流峰值的分布概率;PC值的選取應在確保評估對象SPD設計科學、有效的基礎上,通過分析評估位置雷電流峰值概率,判斷SPD的保護概率,以定量確定PC因子的參數值。

    Abstract:

    Parameter 〖WTBX〗P〖WTBZ〗c refers to the reference value of electrical and electronic system failure probability in buildings resulted from lightning strokes in the evaluation of lightning disaster risk, and the selection methods of the factor directly influence the accuracy of assessment results. Based on the concept of 〖WTBX〗P〖WTBZ〗c, an analysis is made of 〖WTBX〗P〖WTBZ〗c, and the quantitative calculating methods are discussed. It is concluded that while choosing the parameter, the rationality of SPD design and the limitations of SPD protection should be considered according the relevant national stands, and also the statistical analysis should be conducted of the historical data of local lightning locations to determine the probability distribution of the lightning current peak. The selection of 〖WTBX〗P〖WTBZ〗c should be carried out to ensure the design of SPD is scientific and effective. The protection probability is determined through the analysis of the probability of lightning current peaks, to determine quantitatively the values of 〖WTBX〗P〖WTBZ〗c.

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付國振,馮鶴.雷電災害風險評估中PC因子選擇方法[J].氣象科技,2013,41(3):569~571

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  • 收稿日期:2012-01-14
  • 定稿日期:2012-06-04
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  • 在線發布日期: 2013-06-24
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