C波段雷達反射率資料的同化與數值模擬
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國家科技支撐計劃重點項目(2008BAC37B01、2008BAC37B05)、天津市氣象局項目“C波段雷達資料在中尺度模式中的應用研究”(201103)資助


Assimilation of C Band Doppler Radar Reflectivity Data and Application in Numerical Simulation
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    摘要:

    利用ARPS模式(Advanced Regional Prediction System)的資料分析系統ADAS(ARPS Data Analysis System),以NCEP GFS資料為背景場對我國西北地區CINRAD CB\\CC型雷達反射率資料進行同化試驗研究,并借助于WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model)模式,對發生在黃河河套及河北地區的一次天氣過程進行個例模擬試驗。不同模擬方案模擬結果的對比分析和短時預報檢驗表明:①C波段雷達反射率資料的引入與S波段雷達反射率資料在空間覆蓋上構成互補,與衛星、地面等資料的云綜合分析能夠分析出與實況更為接近的降水場和垂直結構信息;②同化了C波段雷達反射率資料的試驗方案在模擬回波系統演變上優于未同化的,但由于模擬低層暖濕條件不足,系統逐漸衰弱與實況不符;③對比實況降水發現,區域C波段雷達反射率資料的同化對短時降水預報效果有一定改善。

    Abstract:

    By using ADAS (ARPS Data Analysis System) and NCEP GFS data as the background field, an assimilation experiment is conducted on CB\\CC Doppler radar reflectivity in Northwest China, and by means of WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model), a weather process occurred around the Hetao region of Yellow River and Hebei Province is simulated. The contrast between the experiment results using different simulation schemes and the forecasting verification show that: (1) the introducing of the C Band radar reflectivity data is complementary in space with the S Band radar data, and the rainfall field and vertical structure information given by the complex cloud analysis scheme with satellite and surface observation data are closer to reality. (2) The scheme with C Band radar reflectivity assimilated is superior to the unassimilated for the simulation of the reflectivity echoes, but the simulated system is gradually ebbed because of the inadequate water supply, which is different from reality. (3) The contrast between different assimilation schemes with the real precipitation indicates that the assimilated reflectivities improved the short time precipitation forecast.

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引用本文

李平,解以揚,李英華,官莉,溫焰軍. C波段雷達反射率資料的同化與數值模擬[J].氣象科技,2013,41(3):506~515

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2012-02-08
  • 定稿日期:2012-08-06
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  • 在線發布日期: 2013-06-24
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