自動氣象站監測運行能力可靠性評估
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氣象行業專項“地面觀測網自動化監控技術研究”資助


Assessment of Operational Capacity of Automatic Weather Stations Using Reliabity Data
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    摘要:

    自動氣象站運行能力的評估,其實質就是對自動氣象站可靠性的評估,其目的在于指導自動氣象站保障維護體系的建立和健全。借鑒大氣透明度定義探討自動氣象站可靠性,解釋產品可靠性指數分布的物理意義。根據模型統計分析在修改采集器設計、增加狀態檢測電路后自動氣象站的運行能力(平均無故障時間),計算出實驗考核指標。通過試驗獲得試驗產品的平均無故障時間和置信度095下的最小無故障時間,并對將投入業務使用的雙套站和三套站系統,在平均無故障時間和平均維修周期上做了相關討論,為科學決策提供相關技術支持。

    Abstract:

    The essential factor for determining the operational capability of automatic weather stations is its reliability; the purpose of operational capability assessment of automatic weather stations is to guide the establishment and improvement of the support and maintenance system for automatic weather stations. Based on a measurement model of atmospheric transparency, the reliability of automatic weather stations is discussed and the physical meaning of the exponential distribution of product reliability is explained. According to the model, the operation capacity (MTBF: Mean Time Between Failures) of the automatic weather stations is defermined by its relibility after adjusting the collection of data, and calculating the relevant evaluation parameters. The MTBF and the minimum time to fail (with the confidence level being 095) of the experimental products were obtained by experiments. The MTBF and the average maintenance cycle of the double or three station system that will be implemenfed are discussed, which can provide technical support for scientific decision making.

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裴翀,盧會國,崔明,胡學英,劉銀鋒.自動氣象站監測運行能力可靠性評估[J].氣象科技,2013,41(3):448~452

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  • 收稿日期:2012-03-11
  • 定稿日期:2013-02-08
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  • 在線發布日期: 2013-06-24
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