黑龍江省封凍前土壤底墑趨勢變化分析
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公益性行業氣象專項(GYHY201106026)、科技部農業科技成果轉化資金項目(2010GB24160651)資助


Trend Analysis of Winter Soil Moisture in Heilongjiang in 1981-2010
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    摘要:

    利用黑龍江省1981—2010年的土壤濕度數據,以富錦縣、龍江縣、雙城縣、黑河市、海倫縣為代表點,分析了黑龍江省東、西、南、北、中各區域封凍前(11月8日)0~30 cm土層土壤濕度的趨勢變化和干濕變化,采用線性趨勢、5年滑動平均和Mann Kendall法檢驗變化趨勢,利用Mann Kendall和Yamamoto法對土壤濕度變化趨勢進行突變點檢驗。結果表明:封凍前0~30 cm土層各地土壤濕度在30年間均有不同程度下降,西部龍江縣下降劇烈,中部海倫縣較劇烈,北部黑河市和南部雙城縣次之,上述代表點20 cm土層土壤濕度下降均達到了P<005以內的顯著水平,東部富錦縣下降趨勢最弱;經Mann Kendall法檢驗,0~30 cm土層龍江縣、海倫縣土壤濕度出現了下降的突變區域,其余代表點的土壤濕度變化趨勢在近幾年中逐漸接近或已經超越了顯著線;1994年是龍江縣10 cm、20 cm土壤濕度下降的突變時期;黑龍江省各地土壤濕度的下降與封凍前一段時期內氣溫和降水變化密切相關,還與土壤物理性質的惡化等因素有關。

    Abstract:

    By using the soil moisture data of Heilongjiang Province from 1981 to 2010, selecting the Fujin county of the east, Longjiang county of the west, Shuangcheng county of the south, Heihe city of the north, and Hailun county of the middle in Heilongjiang province, the trends of soil moisture during winter and the drought wet change are analyzed, and the significance tests are conducted with three methods: linear trend, 5 year moving average, and Mann Kendall. The mutation test of soil moisture change is made with Mann Kendall and Yamamoto methods. The results show that the soil moisture at the depth of 0 to 30 cm underground showed various downtrend in the last 30 years: the decreasing of the soil moisture at the Longjiang county was the sharpest, Hailun county the second, and Heihe city and Shuangcheng county the next; moreover, the significance levels of soil moisture decreasing at 20 cm for all the stations were lest than 005, but the decreasing at Fujin county was slight. The results of the Mann Kendall test show that there appeared mutational zones in Longjiang and Hailun counties, and the downtrends of the other stations were close to, or exceeded the significant level in the recent years. The mutational time of soil moisture change was 1994 for the soil layer of 0 to 20 cm in Longjiang county. The decreasing of winter soil moisture in Heilongjiang Province is related to temperature and precipitation, as well as the deterioration of the soil physical properties.

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朱海霞,紀仰慧,宮麗娟,呂佳佳,曲輝輝,李百超.黑龍江省封凍前土壤底墑趨勢變化分析[J].氣象科技,2013,41(1):196~201

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  • 收稿日期:2011-09-16
  • 定稿日期:2012-01-05
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  • 在線發布日期: 2013-02-01
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