2007—2010年北京自動站濃霧特征分析與臨近預報初探
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北京市氣象局業務發展基金項目(BMBYWFZ2011004)、北京市氣象局精細化預報創新團隊資助


Characteristics and Nowcasting of Thick Fog in Beijing
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    摘要:

    為探索北京地區濃霧天氣特征和臨近預報方法,分析了北京2007—2010年18個道面自動站能見度1000 m以下的天氣資料。結果表明:①濃霧具有明顯的日變化和年變化。05:00—09:00是高發時段,12:00—18:00是低發時段。全年濃霧主要集中在9-12月, 6、7月最少。②空間分布上,呈現“東南多,城區少”的特征,統計80%以上的濃霧都發生在大興和通州。③濃霧變化具有突發性和象鼻形先期振蕩的特征。④濃霧能見度變化與氣象要素變化關系密切。偏南風和偏東風最有利于濃霧生成發展,西北風最有利于濃霧的消散。風速減小,氣溫下降,濕度增大,能見度降低,濃霧生成和發展;風速增大,氣溫升高,濕度減小,能見度上升,濃霧減弱消散,但濕度的減小滯后于能見度的上升。濃霧維持階段,要素變化都很小。

    Abstract:

    Based on the observation data provided by the automatic meteorological stations for road weather information in Beijing, the characteristics of low visibility thick fogs and the method of nowcasting are studied. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) The thick fog with the visibility below 200 m happens mostly between 05:00 to 09:00, from September to December, and lest between 12:00 to 18:00, from June and July. (2) About 80 % of thick fog cases with visibility below 200 m appears in Daxing and Tongzhou districts in the southeastern Beijing, and seldom in downtown. (3) Before the formation of thick fogs, there was a thick thin thick fluctuating pattern in visibility variation. (4) The visibility changes with the wind, temperature, and relative humidity; the south and east wind is advantageous to the formation of thick fogs; the northwest wind is advantageous to their dissipation. During the development period of thick fogs, wind speed becomes slow; relative humidity rises; temperature reduces; and visibility becomes lower. During the maintain period, the wind speed, relative humidity, temperature, and visibility all change slightly. During its dissipation period of, the wind speed becomes big; relative humidity reduces; temperature rises; and visibility becomes bigger; but the reduction of relative humidity is later than the rise of visibility.

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鄧長菊,丁德平,韓超,甘璐.2007—2010年北京自動站濃霧特征分析與臨近預報初探[J].氣象科技,2013,41(1):108~113

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  • 收稿日期:2011-09-29
  • 定稿日期:2012-02-08
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  • 在線發布日期: 2013-02-01
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