安徽省夏季降水區域特征
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Regional Characteristics of Summer Rainfall Variation in Anhui Province
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    摘要:

    用R型因子分析的方法對1957—2000年安徽省16個測站的夏季降水資料進行研究,應用因子荷載點聚圖將觀測站點進行區域劃分,找出每個區域內的代表觀測站,統計各分區夏季降水特征、夏季降水長期趨勢變化、區域旱澇特征及年代際變化。結果表明:安徽省夏季降水可以劃分為3個區。 其中碭山、滁州和寧國可以分別作為它們的標準站。 研究指出,40多年3個區的夏季降水特征差別較大:1區夏季降水量最少,2區居中,3區最多,其中6月3個區差別最明顯;1區、2區夏季降水量長期趨勢變化不明顯,而3區表現為明顯的正趨勢變化; 2區是降水異常的多發區,更容易發生干旱與洪澇;1區中在1957—1970年和1991—2000年旱澇較頻繁,而在2區和3區中,旱、澇頻數隨時間變化總體趨勢是從旱向澇轉變的。

    Abstract:

    The R style factor analysis is carried out for the summer rainfall fields of 16 observation station over Anhui Province from 1957 to 2000, by means of the factor load scatter diagram to carry out the division of observation stations to find the representative stations within the region, the summer rainfall statistical characteristics of the region, the long term trend of summer precipitation, the characteristics of regional droughts,and the inter decadal variation. The analysis indicates that the rainfall fields can be divided into 3 sub regions, in which Dangshan, 〖JP2〗Chuzhou and Ningguo can be used as their standard stations respectively. The results indicate that there is great difference in the characteristics of summer rainfall among the three regions for more than four decades. The summer rainfall in Zone 1 was the least, and that in Zone 3 was the greatest; there is most obvious difference between three zones in June; the long term trends of summer precipitation in Zone 1 and Zone 2 were not significant, but that in Zone 3 was very obvious. There were frequent droughts in Zone 1 from 1957 to 1970 and 1991 to 2000. The overall trends of the drought/flood occurrence frequencies in Zone 2 and Zone 3 varied over time, changing from droughts to floods.

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陳健,杜曉賓,方茸,翟振芳,鄧斌.安徽省夏季降水區域特征[J].氣象科技,2012,40(5):794~798

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  • 收稿日期:2011-04-17
  • 定稿日期:2012-01-04
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  • 在線發布日期: 2012-10-29
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