閩西北兩次致洪暴雨成因對比分析
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Comparative Analysis of Causes of Two FloodInducing Rainstorms over Northwestern Fujian
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    摘要:

    利用天氣圖資料、地面加密自動站資料和多普勒天氣雷達探測資料等,對2010年6月18日和7月7日發生在閩西北山區的兩場大暴雨至特大暴雨天氣過程進行對比分析。結果表明:兩場暴雨過程均是在高空槽東移引導冷空氣南下和西南急流在福建省中北面的強風速輻合的相互作用下,有充分的水汽,較強的上升運動、不穩定的大氣層結條件下產生的。副熱帶高壓的位置、西南急流的水平寬度及前傾槽是影響大暴雨時間長短及范圍大小的重要因素;暴雨的強度與低層輻合和高層輻散的抽吸效應、垂直上升運動等成正相關;暴雨區上空的水汽通量和水汽通量散度的最大中心比特大暴雨發生時間早,分析預報點上空的水汽變化特征對災害天氣的預報預警有指導作用;兩次暴雨雷達回波均呈帶狀,且該強中心的長軸與移動方向基本一致,是兩次暴雨的重要特征。

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    Based on the conventional data, automatic weather station data, Doppler radar observational data, etc., the causes of two heavy rainfall events occurred on 18 June and 7 July 2010 in the mountainous northwestern Fujian are compared and analyzed. The results show that both of the two processes happened under the circulation condition of the southwardmoving cold air guided by the eastmoving upperlevel trough and the interaction of the southwest jet with the strong wind speed convergence over the northern and central Fujian, integrating with rich water vapor, strong vertical ascending motion, and unstable atmosphere stratification. The position of the subtropical high, the horizontal width of the southwest jet, and the forwardtilting trough are the important influencing factors of the duration and scope of the heavy rainstorm. The storm strength is positively correlated with the vertical ascending motion and the suction effects of lowerlevel convergence and upper level divergence, etc. The maximum center of water vapor flux and water vapor flux divergence over the storm zone appeared earlier than heavy rainfall. The variation of water vapor has indicative significance for the forecasting and early warning of disasters weather. The radar echoes of the two rainstorms exhibit a zonal distribution, and the moving direction of the strong radar echo intensity center is consistent with the long axis of the echo center.

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張尾蘭,蔣宗孝,廖才科.閩西北兩次致洪暴雨成因對比分析[J].氣象科技,2012,40(4):606~612

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2011-01-19
  • 定稿日期:2011-06-29
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  • 在線發布日期: 2012-08-20
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