區域動態氣象干旱強度指數及其應用
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云南省發展社會科技計劃(2009CA023)、云南省氣象局業務能力研究與提升重點項目(Y200905)資助


Regional Dynamic Index of Meteorological Drought Intensity and Its Application
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    摘要:

    基于綜合氣象干旱指數的基本原理,以氣象干旱等級為基礎構建區域動態氣象干旱強度指數,并就其在監測評估業務上的應用進行分析研究。結果表明:區域動態氣象干旱強度指數實現了對干旱強度的實時動態監測和評價,充分考慮了干旱的累積效應,不以人為劃定時段來評價干旱強度,具有動態性、連續性和客觀性的特點,可廣泛應用于區域干旱的實時監測、災害預警、過程評價、歷史排位判斷、重現期分析等業務。通過對2009/2010年云南秋冬春特大干旱中的應用檢驗,效果優于氣象干旱指數。

    Abstract:

    Based on the compound index (CI) for meteorological droughts, using the Regional Dynamic Index (RDI) for meteorological droughts constructed from the classification of droughts,the application of RDI in the operational service is analyzed. Results indicate that the occurrence and development of droughts can be monitored and evaluated dynamically by using RDI. The index responds to the cumulative effects of droughts sufficiently, with the intensity evaluation of a drought not depended on the time period defined artificially. With characteristics of dynamic, consecutive and exercisable, the index is more applicable in depicting regional droughts in service practice, such as realtime monitoring, disaster warning, course evaluating, return period estimation, history rank judgment and so on. The application test of RDI to the 2009/2010 extreme drought event occurred in Yunnan Province indicates that the practical effect is better than that by using the classification of drought.

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王學鋒.區域動態氣象干旱強度指數及其應用[J].氣象科技,2012,40(4):601~605

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  • 收稿日期:2011-01-01
  • 定稿日期:2011-05-11
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  • 在線發布日期: 2012-08-20
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