加密自動站資料在強對流天氣分析預報中的應用
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山西省科研項目(SXKYBTQ20082004)資助


Application of AWS Data to Analysis and Forecasting of Severe Weather
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    摘要:

    利用常規分析資料、雷達產品和太原地面加密自動站資料,對2008年6月28日出現在太原地區的一次強對流天氣過程進行了分析,結果發現: ①高空冷渦和中低空暖濕氣團配置為此次強對流天氣提供了有利的環流背景條件。②雷達回波的形狀、結構、VIL均顯示出強對流特征,速度輻合區與地面中尺度輻合線相對應,垂直方向存在強烈的風切變。③逐小時變溫場顯示出冷空氣入侵路徑、強度,負變溫中心未來成為強對流天氣區。④地面中尺度輻合線是強對流發生的觸發機制,逐小時變壓場的負中心與隨后出現的災害性天氣區有效對應。⑤對流發生前,單站氣象要素出現顯著的不連續變化,氣壓和濕度呈同位相變化,與氣溫變化則反位相,3者在對流發生前1 h同步出現谷(峰)值,災害天氣出現在之后的要素陡升(降)時段內。

    Abstract:

    Using the conventional meteorological data, radar products, and automatic weather station data, the severe convective weather event on 28 June 2008 in Taiyuan is analyzed. The results show: (1) The configuration of the upperlevel cold vortex and the middlelower level wet and warm air mass provided the favorable circulation background for the severe convective weather. (2) The shape, structure, and VIL of the radar echoes showed strong convective characteristics, and the speed convergent zone corresponded well with the surface mesoscale convergence line, which means that there was strong wind shear along the vertical direction. (3) The hourtohour temperaturechange field revealed the path and the strength of the cold air intrusion, and the negative temperaturechange center would become severe convective weather area later. (4) The triggering mechanism of the severe convection was the surface mesoscale convergence line, and the negative center of the hourtohour pressurechange field corresponded with the ensuing severe weather area well. (5) Before the convection occurred, the single station meteorological elements showed notable discontinuous changes: pressure and relative humidity changed in the same direction, and temperature changed in the opposite direction; the three elements reached the peak values synchronously one hour before the severe weather event, and the severe weather occurred during the rapidly increasing period of the element values.

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李瑞萍,程艷芳,趙彩萍,常鋼,晉立軍.加密自動站資料在強對流天氣分析預報中的應用[J].氣象科技,2012,40(4):596~600

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  • 收稿日期:2011-01-20
  • 定稿日期:2011-11-15
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  • 在線發布日期: 2012-08-20
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