近50年上海地區日照時數的變化特征及影響因素
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上海市自然科學基金(09ZR1428800)、國家自然科學基金(40901031)、國家“十一五”科技支撐計劃重點項目(2007BAC29B05)和上海市氣象局研究型業務專項(YJ200805;YJ200803) 共同資助


Variation Characteristics of Sunshine Duration and Its Influencing Factors in Shanghai in Recent 50 Years
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    摘要:

    基于上海地區11個氣象站1960—2009年的日照時數、云量、水汽壓、降水資料,采用線性趨勢分析、MannKendall檢驗等氣候統計診斷方法,分析了上海地區日照時數年際、季節的變化特征以及空間分布特征,并對影響日照時數的氣候因子進行了分析。結果表明,1960—2009年期間,上海地區日照時數呈顯著減少的趨勢,其中夏季、秋季和冬季的日照時數顯著減少,春季日照時數變化不顯著。1980年是上海日照時數減少突變的時間點,是日照時數由正距平占優勢轉為負距平占優勢的轉折點??臻g上,整個上海日照時數在過去50年均呈減少趨勢,并且由北向南減少趨勢逐漸減弱。上海年日照時數與降水量和降水日數呈顯著負相關,年日照時數的減少與年降水量的增加有關。上海各季日照時數與云量、水汽壓和降水基本都呈顯著的負相關,夏季日照時數減少主要是由降水量的增加造成的,冬季日照時數的減少與水汽壓和降水量的增加有關。

    Abstract:

    Based on the data of sunshine duration, cloud amount, surface vapor pressure, and precipitation of 11 meteorological stations in Shanghai, the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of sunshine duration and the influencing factors from 1960 to 2009 are analyzed using the linear trend, MannKendall test and other methods. The results indicate that annual sunshine duration in Shanghai reduced significantly in recent 50 years. In summer, autumn and winter, sunshine duration reduced significantly, but in spring, it changed insignificantly. The sunshine duration had an abrupt change in 1980. From 1983, the sunshine duration reduced significantly in Shanghai. Spatially, the sunshine duration reduced in the whole area in recent 50 years, more obvious in the northern parts than in the southern parts of Shanghai. There was significant negative correlation between annual sunshine duration and annual precipitation as well as annual precipitation days, so the increase of annual precipitation amount might contribute to the reduction of annual sunshine duration. There was basically significant negative correlation between seasonal sunshine duration and seasonal cloud amount, surface vapor pressure, and precipitation in four seasons. The increase of summer precipitation amount might contribute to the reduction of summer sunshine duration, and the increase of winter precipitation amount and surface vapor pressure might contribute to the reduction of winter sunshine duration.

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靳利梅.近50年上海地區日照時數的變化特征及影響因素[J].氣象科技,2012,40(2):293~298

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  • 收稿日期:2010-08-20
  • 定稿日期:2010-12-21
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  • 在線發布日期: 2012-04-23
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