1949—2009年西北太平洋熱帶氣旋氣候特征
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中國博士后基金項目(201150M1552)資助


Climatic Characteristic of Tropical Cyclone Activities over Western North Pacific Since 1949
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    摘要:

    利用1949—2009年中國氣象局熱帶氣旋(TC:Tropical Cyclone)最佳路徑數據集,對西北太平洋TC生成源地的時空分布、生成和登陸我國TC的年、月頻數分布、強度分布和地理分布等氣候特征進行統計分析。研究結果表明:在這61年中生成的TC呈減少趨勢,登陸我國的TC數量比較穩定,不過近10年來登陸的較強TC數量卻呈現出上升趨勢;每年6—10月是TC高發期,強度等級越高的TC生成季節越偏晚,而8月是生成和登陸數量最多的月份;TC平均生命期隨強度等級的增加而增大,且逐漸表現出單峰值分布特征;TC頻數的地理分布以我國南海和菲律賓以東洋面為中心,向四周呈輻射狀減少,近10年來其活動范圍有所西伸加強。

    Abstract:

    The track data of tropical cyclones (TC) provided by the Chinese Meteorological Administrator from 1949 to 2009 are employed to analyze the climatic characteristics of TC activities over the Northwest Pacific,including the temporalspatial variations of TC sources, the interannual and intermonthly variation of the TCs formed and landed on China, the distribution of TCs intensity and tracks, etc. The results show that the number of TCs formed on China has been decreased for more than 60 years, although there was little change in the number of landfall TCs, but the highintensity TCs increased in recent 10 years, with the peak period being from June to October, especially in August; the greater the intensity was, the later the TC occurred; the average life period of TCs increased with increasing TC intensity, with a singlepeak pattern; as for the geographical distribution of TC occurrence frequency, TCs were mainly concentrated around the South China Sea and the ocean area east of Philippines, decreasing radially outward; however, the TCs tended to stretch westward with the intensity slightly increasing in recent 10 years.

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劉喆,白潔,張文軍,楊文凱.1949—2009年西北太平洋熱帶氣旋氣候特征[J].氣象科技,2012,40(2):249~255

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  • 收稿日期:2010-09-05
  • 定稿日期:2011-03-01
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  • 在線發布日期: 2012-04-23
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