迎風坡暴雨預報中多普勒天氣雷達資料兩種散度反演方法的應用
DOI:
作者:
作者單位:

作者簡介:

通訊作者:

中圖分類號:

基金項目:

國家自然科學基金項目(40975013)和災害天氣國家重點實驗室開放課題預報員專項(CMATG2006Y07)共同資助


Application of Two Divergence Inversion Techniques for Doppler Radar in ShortTerm Heavy Rain Forecasting
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 圖/表
  • |
  • 訪問統計
  • |
  • 參考文獻
  • |
  • 相似文獻
  • |
  • 引證文獻
  • |
  • 資源附件
  • |
  • 文章評論
    摘要:

    簡單介紹了由多普勒天氣雷達徑向風資料反演平均散度和徑向散度的計算方法,以2004年7月11—12日暴雨過程為例說明兩種散度在迎風坡暴雨跟蹤、預報中的綜合應用。分析結果表明:①平均散度可以作為降水跟蹤、預測的背景場。降水出現之前,低層平均散度存在輻合;低層輻合加強或維持,整個區域降水將加強;輻合高度抬升到中層并維持,降水達到最強;輻合減弱并開始出現輻散,區域降水將逐漸結束。②根據徑向散度的分布情況,可以提前2 h以上預報強降水的落區。強降水落在徑向輻合大值區后部的較弱輻合區內,且弱輻合區強度越強,未來降水強度越大。因此,綜合分析平均散度和徑向散度隨時間的變化,可以跟蹤、預測降水的發展演變,特別是可以給出暴雨的大致落區。

    Abstract:

    Two methods for retrieving the average divergence and radial divergence are introduced by means of the Doppler radar radial velocity data. Their application in rainstorm tracking and heavy rainfall forecasting is discussed, as an example, by a rainstorm process on 11 and 12 July 2004. The results indicate: (1) The average divergence field can be used as the background of rainstorm tracking and heavy rainfall forecasting. Before precipitation, there exists convergence at low levels averagely. If the convergence strengthens or maintains, precipitation will increase in the whole region. While if the height of the convergence lifts at middle levels and maintains, precipitation will be the strongest. If the convergence weakens or begins to become divergent at low levels, regional precipitation will gradually end. (2) According to the distribution of radial divergence, the area of heavy rainfall can be forecasted two hours ahead: the area of heavy rainfall will be within the rear weak convergence zone of the largest radial convergence area; the stronger the intensity weak convergence zone is, the greater the rain intensity is. Therefore, by means of the comprehensive analysis of average and radial divergence changes along with time, the development and evolution of precipitation can be tracked and forecasted, especially, the area of heavy rainfall can be located roughly.

    參考文獻
    相似文獻
    引證文獻
引用本文

王麗榮,王立榮,郭衛紅,趙衛亮,景華.迎風坡暴雨預報中多普勒天氣雷達資料兩種散度反演方法的應用[J].氣象科技,2012,40(2):213~218

復制
分享
文章指標
  • 點擊次數:
  • 下載次數:
  • HTML閱讀次數:
  • 引用次數:
歷史
  • 收稿日期:2010-08-30
  • 定稿日期:2011-01-17
  • 錄用日期:
  • 在線發布日期: 2012-04-23
  • 出版日期:
您是第位訪問者
技術支持:北京勤云科技發展有限公司
午夜欧美大片免费观看,欧美激情综合五月色丁香,亚洲日本在线视频观看,午夜精品福利在线
>