中央氣象臺探空資料客觀分析業務系統的研究與實現
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Research and Implementation of Operational Objective Analysis System at Central Meteorological Observatory
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    摘要:

    研發了基于Cressman線性插值方法的探空資料客觀分析業務系統。針對客觀分析在業務工作中的問題,提出幾種解決方法:①提出了在觀測場中找出可疑站點的檢測算法,避免了可疑觀測值對分析場的影響;②通過對分析的等值線進行后處理操作,做到分析結果與觀測數據一致,不增加或者漏掉高低值中心;③提出了對分析場進行自適應平滑處理的方法,即保留了小面積高低值中心,又提高了等值線的光滑與美觀程度。試驗結果顯示:使用該方法得到的探空資料客觀分析結果與觀測數據較一致,在等值線的光滑程度上接近預報員的手工分析結果,從而證明了本文所提方法的可行性和有效性。

    Abstract:

    The research and development of an operational objective analysis (OA) system are conducted based on the Cressman linear interpolation method. Several methods for solving the problems encountered in the operation of the OA system are presented: (1) the stations of low creditability are automatically detected, so that their negative effect on the computation of analytic field is minimized; (2) a postprocessing step is conducted on the isopleths so that they agree with observation data, without added or subtracted high/low value centers; (3) an adaptive smooth method is applied to the analytic field so that the smallarea centers can be preserved and meanwhile isopleths are still smooth. The feasibility and validity of the proposed methods are verified by the experimental results, which show that the analytic results of the OA system agree well with observation data, and the smoothness of the analytic isopleths is comparable to that drawn manually by forecasters.

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于連慶,李月安,韓強.中央氣象臺探空資料客觀分析業務系統的研究與實現[J].氣象科技,2012,40(2):153~159

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  • 收稿日期:2010-08-13
  • 定稿日期:2010-09-28
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  • 在線發布日期: 2012-04-23
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