氣候變暖對剛察縣采暖氣象指標的影響及節能潛力分析
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Impact of Climate Warming on Meteorological Condition and EnergySaving Potential during Heating Period in Gangcha
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    摘要:

    利用青海省剛察縣1961—2008年逐日氣溫資料,運用數理統計等方法,分析了該地區采暖期氣象條件變化及節能潛力。結果表明,1961—2008年間,剛察縣采暖期平均氣溫上升,負積溫減少,采暖初日推遲、終日提前,采暖長度明顯縮短;采暖度日與采暖期平均氣溫關系密切,采暖度日呈極顯著下降趨勢,特別是1994年氣溫突變后,下降趨勢更加明顯,冬季寒冷程度有所減弱,能耗需求量減??;該縣采暖能源需求異常偏多主要分布在20世紀60年代,偏多年份以70—80年代為主,偏少年份出現在80年代中期以后,主要集中在2000年以后。氣候變暖所致采暖節能率為7%,這對節約能源、減少大氣污染和溫室氣體排放較為有利。

    Abstract:

    Using the annual daily temperature data from 1961 to 2008, the changes of meteorological conditions and energysaving potentials during heating periods in Gangcha County of Qinghai Province are analyzed by the mathematicalstatistical method. The results indicate that the mean temperature in the heating period rose gradually while the negative accumulated temperature of the same period decreased from 1961 to 2008. As a result, the starting date of heating season postponed, but the ending date advanced, and the heating length remarkably shortened. The HDD (Heating Degree Day) was closely related to the average temperature of the heating period, decreased significantly, especially after the abrupt temperature change in 1994, which led to less cold winters and made the energy demand declined remarkably. The extraordinary high requirements for hearting energy resources were mainly in the 1960s; higherthannormal requirements were mainly between the 1970s and 1980s; lowerthannormal requirements were found after the middle 1980s, mainly occurred after 2000. From a meteorological point of view, about 7% of annual heating consumption can be saved owing to climate warming, which is beneficial for energy conservation and air pollution control.

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朱寶文,侯俊嶺,哈承智,宋理明,趙澤.氣候變暖對剛察縣采暖氣象指標的影響及節能潛力分析[J].氣象科技,2011,39(6):736~740

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  • 收稿日期:2010-08-31
  • 定稿日期:2011-01-17
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  • 在線發布日期: 2011-12-21
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