南海地區總云量的氣候特征研究
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Climatological Features of Total Cloud Amount over South China Sea
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    摘要:

    采用EOF展開、小波分析、MannKendall突變分析等方法,利用國際衛星云氣候計劃(ISCCP)提供的月平均云氣候資料集,分析了南海地區總云量的氣候特征。結果表明:①總云量表現為南北型的空間分布特征,分界在16°N附近,以北區域主要受南北熱力差異影響,以緯向分布為主;以南區域主要受海陸熱力差異影響,沿海岸線分布。②總云量具有明顯的季節變化特征:冬春季為南北型,夏秋季為東西型,季節性轉換出現在4月和10月。③總云量異常年與氣候異常年相對應:總云量顯著偏多年份,我國南方出現干旱災害,顯著偏少年份則有洪澇災害。④總云量存在顯著的5年周期振蕩和弱的2年周期振蕩。⑤總云量在2006年發生突變,總云量增多。

    Abstract:

    Using the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) monthly climate dataset, the climatological features of the total cloud amount over the South China Sea (SCS) are studied by applying the methods of EOF, wavelet, MannKendall mutation analysis, etc. The results show that: (1) The spatial characteristic field of the total cloud amount over SCS is the northtosouth type. The partition line is near 16°N. The distribution in the north part is along latitudes, most obviously affected by the diversity of thermodynamics, and the distribution in the south part is along the coastline, most obviously affected by the diversity between ocean and lands. (2) There is the remarkable seasonal feature in the distribution of total cloud amount. It is the northsouth type in winner and spring, but the westeast type in summer and autumn. The seasonal transition occurs at April and October. (3) The abnormal total cloud amounts correspond to the climate abnormal years. In the year of abnormally increased total cloud amount, there often occur drought disasters in South China, while in the abnormally reducing year, there occur flood disasters. (4) There exists strong periodic oscillation in total cloud amount with the period being five years and weak period oscillation with the period being two years. (5) The abrupt change of the total cloud amount happened in 2006, and afterwards the total cloud amount has been increasing.

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張亞洲,鄧文彬,梅華,關皓.南海地區總云量的氣候特征研究[J].氣象科技,2011,39(5):569~574

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  • 收稿日期:2010-05-27
  • 定稿日期:2010-12-20
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