重慶市伏旱時空變化特征
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國務院三峽辦項目“三峽工程生態與環境監測系統”(SZ2009004)資助


SpatialTemporal Characteristics of Midsummer Drought Variation in Chongqing
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    摘要:

    利用1961—2008年重慶34個臺站的逐日降水資料,采用主成分分析、旋轉主成分分析等方法對重慶伏旱變化的時空特征進行了分析。結果表明:重慶中西部是伏旱高頻區,約10年7遇,且多重伏旱。重慶伏旱的第1載荷向量場表明重慶伏旱變化具有很好的整體一致性。重慶伏旱空間異??煞譃?個區,即西部區、東北部區、東南部區和中部區。西部伏旱在1960—1970年代最強,東北部伏旱在90年代最強,其次是70年代,中部伏旱在70年代最強,其次是2000年以后,東南部伏旱的年代際變化趨勢不明顯,且伏旱整體較輕。

    Abstract:

    On the basis of the daily precipitation data of 34 stations in Chongqing from 1961 to 2008, the methods of principal component analysis and rotated principal component analysis are used to analyze the spatial and temporal characteristics of midsummer droughts in Chongqing. The main results show that the midsummer droughts occur frequently in the central and western parts of Chongqing. The first loading vector field of midsummer droughts in Chongqing indicates that the midsummer drought variation has a good consistency. The midsummer drought abnormal region can be divided into four subregions: the western, northeastern, southeastern and middle regions. The midsummer droughts over the western region were the strongest in the 1960s and 1970s. The midsummer droughts over the northeastern region were the strongest in the 1990s. The midsummer droughts over the central region were the strongest in the 1970s. The variation tendency of midsummer droughts over the southeastern region was not obvious.

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李梗,劉曉冉,劉德,唐紅玉,葉釗.重慶市伏旱時空變化特征[J].氣象科技,2011,39(1):27~32

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  • 收稿日期:2009-09-11
  • 定稿日期:2010-01-19
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