十一運會開幕式消(減)雨作業數值模擬研究
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山東省氣象局十一運會氣象保障服務科研項目(qyhqx21),國家科技支撐計劃課題“混合云人工增雨技術研究”(2006BAC12B02),山東省氣象局重點課題“山東省積層混合云微物理特征分析” (2009sdqxz16)共同資助


Numerical Simulation of Artificial Rain Dispersal during Opening Ceremony of 11th Chinese National Games
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    摘要:

    利用中科院大氣所開發并發展的三維對流云模式對十一屆全運會開幕式當天影響山東的對流過程進行了數值模擬和過量催化試驗。結果表明模擬自然云與觀測事實吻合較好;設計96組催化方案對該個例進行消(減)雨模擬試驗、催化試驗表明,在模擬云3.5 km高度的最大過冷水含量中心引入3600.0 g碘化銀催化劑,連續催化消(減)雨效果較好(地面降水總量減少97.5%),此次模擬對比分析了模擬自然云與催化云,從微觀上探討了消(減)雨的基本原理,模擬所用催化劑量、催化部位與當天山東人影辦的作業實際基本一致,對指導實際作業有一定的參考價值。

    Abstract:

    The convective weather process influencing Shandong Province during the opening ceremony of the 11th Chinese National Games is simulated with the threedimensional numerical model developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (Chinese Academy of Sciences), and the results of the simulation are analyzed. The results show that the simulated clouds are consistent with the observation clouds very well. Different seeding schemes with excessive AgI were designed, and the rainfall on the ground shows that the effectiveness of the seeding scheme with proper seeding position and initial seeding time was better. The comparison of natural clouds and simulated clouds is conducted,and the principles of rain dispersal are discussed. The AgI dosage and seeding location used in the simulation are almost consistent with those in the real operations, which can be used for reference in weather modification operations.

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樊明月,張佃國,王永政,劉文,李連銀,華杰.十一運會開幕式消(減)雨作業數值模擬研究[J].氣象科技,2010,38(增刊):60~67

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  • 收稿日期:2010-07-12
  • 定稿日期:2010-09-27
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