一次臺風大暴雨成因及落區分析
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山東省氣象局重點科研課題(2008 sdqxz 20)和臨沂市科技發展計劃項目(080203063)資助


Causal and Area Analysis of a Typhoon Heavy Rain
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    摘要:

    對2007年9月19日到20日一次臺風暴雨過程進行了數值模擬,利用模式輸出資料具體分析了本次臺風登陸減弱后的低壓結構特征和大暴雨落區。結果表明:流場上高空輻散低空輻合特征明顯,臺風右側來自海洋的低空潮濕偏南氣流向中緯度槽前和臺風倒槽前部輸送的大量水汽在魯東南東部和山東半島南部輻合,形成強降水區;臺風中心風速較小,和東部海上強風速中心形成明顯“風速偶”,降水區主要發生在中、低層“風速偶”之間的強風速梯度中。由于下墊面分為海上和陸上兩部分,臺風低壓物理量場結構存在東西不對稱性質,上升運動更加強烈,降水強度更大。降水的增幅與高空東南急流及高空正渦度中心和負散度中心的明顯脈動下傳有關系。

    Abstract:

    With the mesoscale model MM5, the rainstorm process of Typhoon Wipha on 19 and 20 September is simulated successfully. Based on the MICAPS data and mesoscale numerical simulation products, the low pressure structure characteristics and heavy rain area of Typhoon Wipha are analyzed. It is found that there existed divergence at high altitudes and convergence at low altitudes. The heavy rainfall was produced by the convergence of abundant vapor in the southeastern Shandong and to the south of the Shandong peninsula, which was induced by the moist southerly stream from the sea at the right side of the typhoon. The wind speed of typhoon center was relatively smaller than that of the strong wind center on the sea, and the windspeed mates are formed between the two centers. The heavy rain mainly happened in the areas with large wind speed gradient between the windspeed mates in the midlow layer. Because of the landsea difference of the underlying surface, the physical structure of the typhoon under low pressure was eastwest asymmetric, and moreover, the upmovements over land and sea areas had different characters. The up movement of the sea areas was stronger and more unstable than that on the land. The heavy rainfall occurred in the eastern part of the inverted typhoon trough. The increment of precipitation was related to the remarkable pulsation downward movement of the highaltitude southeast jet, highaltitude positive vortex center, and negative divergence center.

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張京英,趙海軍,王慶華,胡燕,李秉文,于艷敏.一次臺風大暴雨成因及落區分析[J].氣象科技,2010,38(增刊):35~41

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  • 收稿日期:2010-07-12
  • 定稿日期:2010-10-12
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