亞洲-太平洋大氣主模態與東亞副熱帶夏季風年代際變化關系
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國家自然科學基金重點項目(40331010) 資助


Leading Mode of AsiaPacific Atmosphere and Its Relation with Interdecadal Variation of Subtropical Summer Monsoon in East Asian
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    摘要:

    基于1950~2005年NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析資料,利用 REOF方法提取了亞洲〖CD*2〗北太平洋地區低層大氣的主要模態,著重研究分析了亞洲〖CD*2〗北太平洋地區低層大氣耦合模態的年代際變化特征及其與東亞夏季風的年代際變化關系。結果表明:①夏季亞洲〖CD*2〗北太平洋大氣主要耦合變化型反映了蒙古低壓和北太平洋高壓之間的變化關系。它們之間的耦合變化主要表現為年代際的變化特征,在20世紀50年代到60年代中期為負位相,即蒙古低壓中心值相對較低,北太平洋副高中心值相對較高,60年代中期到70年代中期耦合變化處在正負交替的過程,70年代中期以后,耦合模態為一致的正位相,即蒙古低壓中心值相對較高,北太平洋副高中心值相對較低。②蒙古低壓和北太平洋副熱帶高壓之間的耦合變化與東亞副熱帶夏季風風場強度的年代際變化有顯著的負相關關系,當蒙古低壓和北太平洋副高之間的耦合變化處于負位相時期,東亞副熱帶季風偏強,耦合變化處于正位相時期則相反,即東亞副熱帶季風偏弱。

    Abstract:

    Based on the monthly NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data of 1950 to 2005, by using the rotated empirical orthogonal function, the leading mode of the lowerlevel Asiapacific atmosphere is extracted, putting emphasis on the interdecade variation characteristics of the coupled mode of the lowerlevel atmosphere and the relation with the interdecade variation of East Asian Summer Monsoon. It is found that there was a remarkable zonal geopotential gradient in the lower troposphere over East Asia and the subtropical Pacific. The first mode of REOF (REOF1) shows that there was a positive center at the midhigh latitudes of East Asia and a negative center in the subtropical Pacific. Corresponding to it, there was a low pressure around Mongolia and a high pressure in the subtropical Pacific during summer, their coupling variation evidently influencing East Asian Summer Monsoon. It can be seen from the time coefficients of REOF1 that there was a remarkable interdecade variation at the negative phase from 1950 to the middle 1960s, corresponding to a stronger low pressure around Mongolia and stronger high pressure over the subtropical Pacific; the coupled mode was at positive phase after the middle 1970s, corresponding to a weaker low pressure around Mongolia and a weaker high pressure over the subtropical Pacific, and at the alternate positive and negative phases from the middle 1960s to the middle 1970s. There was rather close negative correlation between REOF1 and East Asian subtropical summer monsoon, including zonal and meridional winds, especially meridional wind. The composite analyses show that when REOF1 was at the negative phase (from 1950 to the middle 1960s), there was southerly wind anomalies in the lower troposphere over the subtropics and middle latitudes of East Asia, corresponding to the stronger East Asian subtropical summer monsoon; when the REOF1 at the positive phase (from the middle 1970s to 2005), there was northerly wind anomalies in the lower troposphere over the subtropics and middle latitudes of East Asia, corresponding to the weaker East Asian subtropical summer monsoon.

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陳偉斌,肖天貴,孫照渤,龍美希.亞洲-太平洋大氣主模態與東亞副熱帶夏季風年代際變化關系[J].氣象科技,2010,38(4):437~443

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  • 收稿日期:2009-07-08
  • 定稿日期:2009-11-06
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