一次東海氣旋爆發性發展數值模擬
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浙江省氣象局和舟山市科委課題“海上低壓大風預報方法研究”資助


Numerical Simulation of an Explosive Cyclone on East China Sea
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    摘要:

    在2006年6月1日發生在東海的爆發性氣旋的天氣學分析基礎上,進行數值模擬,以進一步認識其爆發性發展的物理機制。結果表明:這次東海氣旋的地面系統來自臺灣島附近的海上倒槽,在浙北沿海遇到高空比較深厚的低槽,大尺度高空槽通過槽前正渦度輸送和槽前后冷暖平流對斜壓不穩定的加強作用為氣旋發展和維持提供有利的環境。同時,高空急流也通過其出口區的輻散和暖平流為氣旋發展和維持提供有利的環境。中低層在舟山海域的強渦度平流的抬升作用產生降水,并通過水汽凝結引起潛熱釋放,進一步造成地面氣旋系統的發展,此時氣旋和降水形成正反饋機制。潛熱釋放被高空槽前斜壓不穩定和急流出口區右側輻散共同引起的上升運動激發后,對氣旋的發展起著重要作用。

    Abstract:

    A synoptic analysis and numerical simulation are conducted on an explosive cyclone happened on the East China Sea on 1 June 2006, in order to further understand the physical mechanisms of the cyclone explosive development. The results show that: the main influencing system on the surface is an inverse trough from the sea area around Taiwan Islands, which encountered a strong upperlevel trough over the northern coastal area of Zhejiang. The largescale upperlevel trough provided a conducive environment for cyclone development and maintenance by positive vorticity transport before the trough and the strengthening role of cold and warm advection on baroclinic instability. At the same time, a highaltitude jet provided a favorable environment for the development and maintenance of the cyclone through divergence and warm advection around its exit. The uplifting role of strong vorticity advection in middle and lower levels induced precipitation, and the latent heat release produced by water vapor condensation strengthened the development of the ground cyclone system, during which cyclone and precipitation constituted a positive feedback mechanism. The latent heat release was excited by the uplifting movement caused by the baroclinic instability before the highaltitude trough and divergence around the exit of the jet on the right side, which played an important role in the cyclone development.

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項素清,龔.一次東海氣旋爆發性發展數值模擬[J].氣象科技,2010,38(3):275~280

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  • 收稿日期:2009-03-25
  • 定稿日期:2009-06-15
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