福建沿海赤潮災害氣象預報
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福建省自然科學基金計劃項目(W0750001)“福建海域赤潮災害與氣象條件關系的研究”資助


Meteorological Forecasting for Red Tide Disasters in Coastal Area of Fujian Province
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    摘要:

    根據福建沿海2001~2008年赤潮災害資料以及相應時期的氣象數據,尋找與赤潮災害發生密切相關的氣象因子,分析赤潮災害發生期間的地面及不同高度的天氣形勢,并探討南方濤動指數與赤潮災害發生的關系,在此基礎上根據前期氣溫、風、云及海況進行福建沿海赤潮災害氣象預報。研究結果表明,福建沿海的風、氣溫、濕度、日照和氣壓等氣象因子與赤潮的發生存在著密切的關系,但不同海區影響赤潮發生的主要氣象因子不盡相同,低層850 hPa和地面形勢能較好地反映福建沿海赤潮發生的天氣背景,南方濤動指數與第2年赤潮發生日數有著很好的對應關系,二者相關系數為-0.745。

    Abstract:

    The relationship between red tide disasters in the coastal area of Fujian Province and meteorological conditions is studied,and the circulation patterns for forecasting red tide disasters meteorologically is summed up. The red tide disaster data from 2001 to 2008 in the coastal area of Fujian Province and meteorological data of the corresponding period are used to seek the meteorological factors correlated with red tide disasters,so to analyze meteorological situations on the surface and at different levels during red tide disasters and to study the relationship between Southern Oscillation Index and occurrence of red tide disasters. Results show that meteorological factors such as wind,temperature,humidity, sunshine, and pressure in the coast area of Fujian are correlated well with red tide disasters, but the major factors vary in the different sea areas. The circulation situation at 850 hPa and on surface can better reflect the meteorological background during red tide disasters. Results also show good corresponding relation, with the correlation coefficient being -0.745, between Southern Oscillation index and the occurrence days of red tides next year.

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張春桂,任漢龍,吳幸毓,曾銀東.福建沿海赤潮災害氣象預報[J].氣象科技,2010,38(2):253~258

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  • 收稿日期:2009-11-19
  • 定稿日期:2010-01-30
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