中國北極村氣候變暖特征
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Characteristics of Climatic Warming Trend in Northernmost China
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    摘要:

    利用我國最北部的北極村氣象站1963~2005年氣溫資料,通過計算氣候傾向率和氣候趨勢系數,對該地區氣候變化特點進行了分析。結果表明,43年來北極村氣溫有明顯并穩定的上升趨勢,年平均氣溫以每10年0.46 ℃幅度升高。各季及逐月平均氣溫都存在不同程度的變暖趨勢,但是冬季升溫最為劇烈,達每10年0.69 ℃,其中2月升溫幅度為每10年1.02 ℃,為全年最大。秋季升溫最弱,僅為每10年0.21 ℃。年平均最低氣溫(每10年0.59 ℃)和年極端最低氣溫(每10年0.74 ℃)比年平均最高氣溫(每10年0.37 ℃)和年極端最高氣溫(每10年0.27 ℃)升溫幅度明顯偏大。最低氣溫比最高氣溫對平均氣溫的年代際升溫趨勢貢獻更為明顯。

    Abstract:

    On the basis of the records of air temperature from the northernmost meteorological station from 1963 to 2005, the characteristics of temperature change are analyzed by calculating climate trend coefficients and climate tendency. It is showed that temperature increased markedly and steadily in the last 43 years, with the annual mean temperature increased by 0. 46 ℃ per 10 years. Temperature in all months and in all seasons increased at different degrees, with the mean temperature in winter being the most sharply (0.69 ℃ per 10 years), among which the increase in February was the greatest, being 1.02 ℃ per 10 years. The increase of mean air temperature in autumn was only 0.2146 ℃ per 10 years, which was the smallest of the year. The variation tendencies of annual mean minimum temperature (0.5946 ℃ per 10 years) and extreme minimum temperature (0.7446 ℃ per 10 years) were greater than those of mean maximum temperature (0.3746 ℃ per 10 years) and extreme maximum temperature (0.2746 ℃ per 10 years). Further analysis suggests that the interdecadal warming trend of minimum temperature is more evident than that of maximum temperature.

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趙玲,魏光輝,李樹嶺,張春梅.中國北極村氣候變暖特征[J].氣象科技,2009,37(2):171~174

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  • 收稿日期:2007-11-15
  • 定稿日期:2008-09-28
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