基于GRAPES模式模擬強臺風“珍珠”數值分析
DOI:
作者:
作者單位:

作者簡介:

通訊作者:

中圖分類號:

基金項目:

“GRAPES模式在數值天氣預報教學中的應用研究”課題資助


GRAPESBased Numerical Experiment on Typhoon Chanchu
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 圖/表
  • |
  • 訪問統計
  • |
  • 參考文獻
  • |
  • 相似文獻
  • |
  • 引證文獻
  • |
  • 資源附件
  • |
  • 文章評論
    摘要:

    以T213L30模式產品及常規觀測資料為基礎,采用GRAPES數值預報模式對強臺風“珍珠”(0601)的演變過程進行了數值模擬。結果表明,GRAPES模式對“珍珠”的加強、移動路徑和產生的暴雨都有較好的預報能力,尤其是對“珍珠”南海西行突然順轉90°折向北行異常路徑的預報較為理想,且登陸點預報準確。通過對形勢場(500 hPa高度場、海平面氣壓場)、物理量場(溫度、渦度、垂直速度、散度)、流場的數值模擬分析,認為“珍珠”路徑的轉折變化與副熱帶高壓的東撤南退、冷空氣的變化、越赤道氣流的變化、臺風的非對稱結構有關。

    Abstract:

    Based on the T213 numerical prediction products and the routine radiosonde and surface observation data, the development and movement of the typhoon Chanchu (No.0601) are studied by means of the GRAPESbased numerical experiment. The results show that the GRAPES model has a good ability to forecast the intensification, moving track, and heavy rainfall caused by Chanchu. This model simulated out well the landing spot and especially the track of Chanchu, which made an abrupt clockwise turning from west to north in the central South China Sea. By analysis of the 500 hPa geopotential height and the sealevel pressure fields, as well as temperature, vertical motion and vortex, it is showed that the abrupt turning of the track was related to the adjustment of the general circulation, the movement of cold air, and its own dissymmetrical structure.

    參考文獻
    相似文獻
    引證文獻
引用本文

張兵,薛宇峰,管耀紅,范伶俐.基于GRAPES模式模擬強臺風“珍珠”數值分析[J].氣象科技,2009,37(2):135~140

復制
分享
文章指標
  • 點擊次數:
  • 下載次數:
  • HTML閱讀次數:
  • 引用次數:
歷史
  • 收稿日期:2007-11-14
  • 定稿日期:2008-12-28
  • 錄用日期:
  • 在線發布日期:
  • 出版日期:
您是第位訪問者
技術支持:北京勤云科技發展有限公司
午夜欧美大片免费观看,欧美激情综合五月色丁香,亚洲日本在线视频观看,午夜精品福利在线
>