貴州大暴雨個例形成機制數值模擬
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黔科合外G字(2007)400104號、中國氣象局“西南地區滑坡和泥石流災害氣象監測預警業務服務系統”和貴州省科技基金(2006)2102共同資助


Formation Mechanism Analysis and Numerical Simulation of a Heavy Rain in Guizhou Province
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    摘要:

    利用3層嵌套的中尺度數值模式MM5 V3.5,模擬了2007年6月24~25日發生在貴州中南部的一次大暴雨過程。利用模式輸出的高分辨率資料,對這次暴雨天氣及中尺度低渦的形成機制進行了診斷分析。模式較成功地模擬出了中尺度系統的演變和降水的分布特征。中尺度低渦的發展、穩定維持是造成貴州這次大暴雨天氣的直接原因。暴雨、大暴雨出現在低渦的西南側。在低層正渦度、輻合、強烈的上升運動和高層負渦度、輻散的有利配置下,形成深厚的上升運動柱,這種中尺度動力配置結構,不僅與暴雨區和暴雨發生時段相對應,而且是引起此次暴雨的中尺

    Abstract:

    The heavy rain process in the southern Guizhou Province during 24, 25 June 2007 was simulated successfully by using the threelevel nested mesoscale numerical model MM5 V3.5. By means of the simulated high resolution output data, the formation mechanisms of a heavy rain and the mesoscale low vortex were analyzed and diagnosed. It is shown that the model can successfully simulate the development of mesoscale systems and the distribution characteristics of precipitation. The development and maintenance of a mesoscale low vortex is the direct cause of the heavy rain. Heavy rainfall occurred in the southwest of a low vortex. A deep ascending motion column formed under the favorable condition: atmosphere positive vorticity, convergence, and strong ascending motion at lowerlevels, while atmosphere negative vorticity and divergence at upper levels. The mesoscale dynamical structure had a good relation to the occurrence time and location of heavy rainfall and was one of the dynamic mechanisms of maintaining and growing of the mesoscale low vortex. The area of heavy rainfall corresponded well to the strong ascending motion and the positive vortex areas.

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伍紅雨,吳戰平,徐丹丹.貴州大暴雨個例形成機制數值模擬[J].氣象科技,2008,36(5):529~535

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  • 收稿日期:2007-07-23
  • 定稿日期:2007-09-11
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