相似臺風“泰利”和“桑美”的數值模擬和對比分析
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Numerical Simulation and Comparative Analysis of Typhoons Talim and Saomei
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    摘要:

    結合客觀分析、常規探空和地面觀測資料、中尺度自動站資料以及數值模擬資料,探討兩個相似臺風“泰利”和“桑美”的風雨差異的成因。“泰利”北上時與西風槽結合,形成穩定的“北槽南渦”的天氣形勢;“桑美”北上時其北側存在高壓壩,并且強度增強,不利于環流云系的發散?!疤├边^程有弱冷空氣從邊界層向南滲透;“桑美”過程中低層沒有冷空氣活動。地面風場上,“泰利”在杭州灣以北太湖以南存在東風和東北風的輻合線;“桑美”則存在東風和東南風的輻散?!疤├边^程中,浙北處在能量鋒區南側的高能區內,存在中尺度鋒生,處于弱不穩定狀態,有利于能量的積累和強對流的促發;“桑美”過程中,浙北處在能量鋒區北側的低能帶內,并且層結非常穩定。相似臺風造成的風雨影響可能差別很大,需根據具體的天氣形勢、邊界層內冷空氣活動情況、地面風場輻合線,以及能量鋒區和穩定度等方面做進一步判斷。

    Abstract:

    Typhoon Talim is very similar to “Saomai,” but the influence that it caused differs greatly after typhoons landed. In combination with the objective analysis, conventional observation, surface radiosonde, mesoscale automatic weather station and numerical simulation data, the formation mechanisms of the differences in precipitation and wind fields of the two typhoons are studied. When Talim landed and moved northward, along with the westerly trough, a stabilized synoptic pattern, in which there was a deep tough in the middle troposphere in the north and a southwest vortex in the lower troposphere in the south, came into being, with weak cold air infiltrating southward in the boundary layer. When Saomai landed and moved northward, there was a highpressure “dam” in north without cold air activity. For Talim, the highenergy area was situated in the north of Zhejiang, and there was mesofrontogenesis and weak instability. For Saomai, the lowenergy area was in the north of Zhejiang, and the atmosphere was quite stable. It is concluded that similar typhoons may produce greatly different influences.

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陳麗芳.相似臺風“泰利”和“桑美”的數值模擬和對比分析[J].氣象科技,2008,36(3):262~267

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  • 收稿日期:2007-02-05
  • 定稿日期:2007-08-24
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